The private equity investment firms Fortress Investment Group, Colony Capital and Starwood Capital Group are among several actors in the sector which are currently raising real estate funds, the Boomberg news agency reports. According to statistics from Preqin, there are 441 private equity firms which are seeking to raise real estate funds, an increase of 63 compared with last year, and twice as many as in 2008. In this environment, commissions are on a falling trend. For funds seeking USD1bn or more this year, the average management commission has fallen to 1.33%, according to Preqin, compared with an overall average of 1.5%, and below the average observed between 2007 and 2008.
Global ETF assets under management could grow from approximately USD1.5 trillion today to between USD3.1 trillion and USD4.7 trillion by the end of 2015, according to a new report released by McKinsey & Company.Although the market is expected to grow strongly, it will also become more difficult, due to intensifying competition and regulatory uncertainties. A corollary of the rising number of players and products is that the number of failed launches increase. In 2009, nearly three-quarters of all launches “failed” (i.e., did not gather significant assets within two years), compared to a less than one-in-ten failure rate in the 2003 vintage. From 2000 through 2007, 10 ETFs were shuttered. In the following three years, more than 150 ETFs were shut down. McKinsey suggests that «the passive ETF market is getting closer to saturation».The limelight in the ETF sector is shifting to actively-managed ETFs, a trend which the authors of the study claim will be likely to accelerate. Currently, these products represent only 1% of the sector in the United States, but it may grow to USD1trn in assets in North America in ten years, McKinsey predicts. That will be a game-changer for the ETF sector and for asset management as a whole. “Many traditional asset managers are aware of the disruptive risk that active ETFs could pose. Indeed, sponsors have filed more than 800 applications for new active funds with the SEC. Many are from traditional managers without ETF products who are simply preserving their options in case the market expands,” the consulting firm says.In addition to intensifying competition in the passive ETF market and growth in active ETFs, McKinsey predicts that the ETP sector will globalise, with the arrival of American providers in Asia and Europe, and vice versa. The new era that the ETP market is set to enter, the consulting firm predicts, will ultimately drive asset management actors to adapt, whether or not they are currently present in the ETP market, and new models will emerge, such as specialists in certain types of ETF, or managers who pursue alpha.
In July 2011, assets under management in Swiss investment funds totalled CHF620bn, which represents a 5% monthly decline, Agefi Switzerland reports. Of this total, CHF222.6bn are in Swiss funds intended for institutional investors, according to the Swiss Fund Association (SFA), based on figures from Swiss Fund Data SA and Lipper. The decline has affected all asset classes. Despite mitigated outlooks, the Swiss fund market in July still had net inflows of CHF545m.
Li Keqiand, vice prime minister of China, announced at a press conference on 17 August that the Chinese government is planning to authorise the launch of an ETF in continental China of equities listed in Hong Kong, to issue licenses to Hong Kong businesses to invest CNY20bn, or USD3.2bn in A-class shares (reserved for Chinese investors), and to develop placement of bonds denominated in Chinese yuan in Hong Kong, Bloomberg reports. The news led to a strong rise on the Hong Kong stock markets.
The British investment management association (IMA) has launched a virulent criticism of the French-German proposal for a tax on financial transactions, FundWeb reports. The president of the professional association, Richard Saunders, claims that the tax revenues raised from trades rather than from businesses would really be taxes on the savings of small investors. “Political leaders need to understand that these taxes would not be paid by banks and other intermediaries. Like stamp tax in the United Kingdom, they would be a direct charge to the savings of investors,” he said.
Pimco has recruited two traders for its portfolio management team based in Newport Beach, United States. Jeremie Banet, a former trader at Nomura Fixed Income, joined the team on 1 August. Greg Sharenow will begin in his new position on 7 September. He was previously an energy sector trader at Hess Energy Trading Company.
Natixis Asset Management Advisors, L.P., Natixis ETF Trust and Natixis Distributors, L.P on 15 August submitted two joint applications to the SEC for licenses to list actively managed and traditional ETFs on the markets, potentially on the NYSE Arca platform.Mutual Fund Wire reports that the first traditional fund could replicate the Ossiam US Minimum Variance Net Return Index.
The fund management firm Midi Capital, a specialist in investment in non-public SMEs in a development or transitional phase, on 18 August announced the appointment of Lucie Berges Rosa as account manager. Berges Rosa previously worked at Mizuho in London, in the team arranging syndication of LBO debt.
Hans-Ulrich Meister, the new CEO of the private banking division of the Credit Suisse group, who has been in his position for only a few weeks, has announced that he will be undertaking measures to improve the operating efficiency of the division. Until early September, when the concrete measures will be laid out in detail, Meister is playing mucial chairs with directors in the division, Handelsblatt reports, citing an internal memo obtained by Reuters. On 1 September, Rolf Bögli will become COO, replacing Christoph Brunner, who will be replacing Hanspeter Kurzmeyer as head of private clients for Switzerland. Private banking Switzerland will now be led by Arthur Vayloyan, while Nicole Pauli is appointed as head of the investment services & products branch.
In a market statement published on the DGAP website on 18 August, Daimler announced that it has received notification that the BlackRock group on 11 August passed the 5% threshold in voting rights, and with its affiliates now controls 5.72% of the auto maker. The US management firm probably took advantage of a slump of about one third in Daimler’s share price since mid-July to increase its stake. BlackRock becomes the third-largest shareholder in Daimler, after Aabar Investments (Abu Dhabi) with 9%, and the Kuwait sovereign fund (7%), ahead of Renault/Nissan, which controls 3.1%.
Past performance is not a predictor of future performance – and, according to TCF Investment, past performance is not an indicator of past performance, either.In the past 12 years, FCF Investment explains, the investment fund sector has undergone a 100% turnover of the overall range of funds on offer to retail clients and their advisers. The most recent annual statistics from the British investment management association (IMA), which cover data up to the end of 2010, reveal that in that period, there was more or less one new fund created every day, while another fund was closed or merged. Over 12 years, 2,660 funds were launched, and 2,486 funds were closed or merged. As of the end of 1999, the total number of funds available was 2,437. As of the end of December 2010, the number of funds available was 2,574.According to TCF Investment, it is highly unlikely that the turnover rate observed took place for the benefit of clients. The costs which closure, merger or launch of funds entails must have totalled millions of pounds in tax, legal and other costs, which would ultimately have been borne by investors.It is also reasonable to conclude, TCF Investment continues, that closed or merged funds are products which failed to meet expectations. In the 12 years under review, about half of all funds were closed or merged in any given five-year period, which means that their track records would also have been deleted and are no longer featured in the performance rankings.In other words, “anyone who considers the average performance of the sector over a five-year period takes into account only 50% of all track records, and the best 50% at that,” says David Norman, CEO of TCF Investment Funds. This means that “past performance does not represent a reliable guide to past performance, to say nothing of future performance.”
In an unstable market environment, funds of funds dedicated to Africa appear to be an oasis of stability. According to the hedge fund data provider PerTrac and HedgeNews Africa, a firm specialised in news about alternative management in Africa, African funds of funds have not only outperformed the market in periods of falling markets between July 2009 and July 2011, but they have even provided returns that are less correlated and volatile than the market. In bear markets in the past two years, the composite fund of fund index from HedgeNews Africa has outperformed the S&P 500 TR by 42.93%, and the MSCI EAFE-Neet by 38.55%. Returns for the composite fund of funds index remained in a range of total net fluctuation of -2% to +2%, while the S&P 500 TR and the MSCI EAFE-Net were in the -10% to +10% range. PerTrac has published the findings under a new agreement with HedgeNews Africa, whose database will be added to the PerTrac analysis platform aimed at fund investors and managers.
Assets under management by the asset management division of the Saxo Bank group totalled DKK32.9bn (about EUR4.42bn) as of the end of June, compared with DKK31.2bn as of the end of December 2010, Saxo Bank stated on 18 August at a presentation of its half-yearly results. Net profits for Saxo Bank totalled about DKK346m, down 37% compared with first half 2010, but up 375% compared with second half 2010. Saxo Bank says in its half-yearly report that it aims to enrich the range of products available from Saxo Asset Management as opportunities present themselves.
Saxo Properties, an affiliate of the Danish Saxo Bank, on 18 August announced the creation of a joint venture with the pan-European real estate fund Real Estate Advisers (Resolution Property, EUR1.5bn in assets). The objective of the partnership is to jointly invest about EUR250m in real estate properties in the centre of Copenhagen in the next three to five years.
For an undisclosed amount, State Street acquired a majority stake in the London-based firm InfraHedge in late July, thus adding a managed accounts platform to its range of services to institutional investors and hedge funds, which offers a complete range of services allowing these actors to operate managed accounts and allowing clients to remain independent of management firms in the selection of managers and the construction of their portfolios. As of the end of June, State Street had USD789bn in hedge fund assets under administration.
Mutual Fund Wire relays reports in Financial News that the US management firm Loomis Sayles (USD162.3bn in assets as of the end of June) is opening an office in London, which will be led by Jeff Sayer, managing director of European institutional services. Three other recruitments are planned by the end of the year. Other openings are planned for Europe, the Middle East and North Africa in the long term.
Argonaut Capital Partners is planning to become operationally independent of its partner, Ignis Asset Management, as a part of a process begun last year with Hexam, MoneyMarketing reports. Barry Norris and Olly Russ will continue to manage funds for Argonaut, which will now recruit staff with the intention of moving to a more independent management policy. The partnership between Ignis and Argonaut is currently structured as a 50/50 joint venture. Ignis appears to want to retain a financial stake in the firm, as in the case of Hexam, in which Ignis still retains a 35% stake. According to a spokesperson cited by Money Marketing, “We can confirm that Argonaut and Ignis are in talks over a potential modification to their partnership agreements. An announcement will be made when we consider the time appropriate. In the meanwhile, neither Argnoaut nor Ignis have any further comment.”
After serving as head of the San Francisco office of State Street Global Advisors (SSgA), Susan Raynes will be moving to London: she has been appointed as head of institutional activities for SSgA in the United Kingdom, the Middle East, and Africa, known as the UKMEA region. In her new position, Raynes will report to Greg Ehret, head of SSgA Europe Middle East and Africa (EMEA). Raynes, who has been with SSgA for about 15 years, will also be a member of the European Executive Committee.
Après la Finlande, l'Autriche, les Pays-Bas et la Slovaquie souhaitent à leur tour la mise en place d'un collatéral attaché aux prêts consentis à Athènes
L’aversion accrue pour le risque a un avantage: faire baisser les taux des emprunts d’Etat en Europe. Ils bénéficiaient déjà des effets liés au plan de sauvetage de la Grèce annoncé mi-juillet et de la réactivation du programme de rachats de titres par la BCE.
Compte tenu des «difficultés pratiques et des délais contraints», l’AMF a ajusté hier l’interdiction des ventes à découvert décidée le 11 août pour les valeurs financières. Un investisseur qui aurait créé avant cette date «une position courte nette via des instruments dérivés arrivant à terme peut procéder à un roulement de position conduisant à recréer une position courte nette sur une échéance plus éloignée, à condition que la position courte nette ainsi créée ne dépasse pas celle détenue avant l’échéance», explique l’autorité.
Irving Picard, le curateur (trustee) de l’ancienne société de gestion de Bernard Madoff, a ajouté hier un nouvel élément à sa plainte à l’encontre d’UBS, à qui il réclame 2 milliards de dollars. Il accuse la banque suisse, qui agissait comme conservateur des fonds nourriciers européens de l’escroquerie pyramidale, d’avoir trompé les régulateurs américain et luxembourgeois à propos de ses liens avec le gérant aujourd’hui en prison. UBS a réagi en qualifiant cette accusation d’infondée. Le curateur tente de reprendre la main alors qu’il a subi un revers fin juillet: un juge de la Cour fédérale de Manhattan avait rejeté une procédure en dommages et intérêts intentée par Irving Picard visant HSBC. Il a estimé que le curateur n’avait pas qualité à agir, étant donné qu’il ne représente pas les investisseurs des fonds nourriciers européens, seules parties légitimes, selon le juge, à poursuivre les banques conservatrices incriminées dans l’affaire.
Les cours de l’once d’or ont atteint hier un nouveau record à 1.825,99 dollars, avec la hausse des inscriptions au chômage aux Etats-Unis et la chute de l’Eurostoxx 50 de 5,34% à 2.206,61 points. «Nous relevons une accélération de la tendance haussière et une entrée en bulle. L’objectif du mouvement en cours est entre 2.060 dollars et 2.080 dollars», commente Valérie Gastaldy, analyste graphique chez Day By Day. Le cabinet GMFS estime pour sa part que la hausse de l’once devrait être limitée à 1.900 dollars dans les six prochains mois. Le Conseil mondial de l’or a estimé hier que la demande en or a diminué de 17% à 919,8 tonnes au deuxième trimestre, mais devrait progresser sur l’année. La hausse globale s’explique par l’accroissement des réserves des acheteurs asiatiques (notamment la Chine et l’Inde particulièrement actifs), ainsi que par l’attrait de cette valeur refuge renforcé par la crise de la dette en Europe et aux Etats-Unis.
L’indice des conditions d’activité de la Réserve fédérale de Philadelphie a plongé à -30,7 en août après 3,2 en juillet, atteignant un plus bas depuis mars 2009, alors que le consensus des analystes anticipait un léger rebond à 3,7. La composante de l’emploi a reculé de 14,1 points à -5,2, et la production manufacturière dans l’Etat de New York a accélérée sa contraction.
Le ratio de créances douteuses des banques espagnoles a diminué en juin mais se maintient à un niveau élevé, selon des données publiées par la Banque d’Espagne. Elles ont reculé de 818 millions d’euros pour s'établir à 116,6 milliards d’euros, soit 6,42% du total des crédits, contre 6,5%, un plus haut de 16 ans, atteint en mai. Le poids des créances douteuses a été multiplié par dix en Espagne depuis le milieu des années 2000.
L’agence de notation, qui a confirmé il y a deux jours le précieux «AAA» des Etats-Unis mis à mal par S&P, a précisé hier que «la situation du dollar américain comme réserve globale de change indique que le pays peut supporter des niveaux de dette dans son PIB plus importants que les autres pays notés «AAA».» Et d’ajouter que toutes polémiques concernant la dynamique de la dette et la volonté politique mises à part, «les Etats-Unis sont tout sauf juste un Etat parmi d’autres.»