Les derniers jours de l’année 2011 ont vu les investisseurs continuer de camper sur leurs positions défensives, deux groupes de fonds attirant l’essentiel de la collecte, à savoir les fonds d’actions américaines et les fonds obligataires. Durant la semaine au 28 décembre, les fonds d’actions dans leur ensemble ont drainé en net 412 millions de dollars alors que la collecte des fonds obligataires s’est élevée à 1,98 milliard de dollars, selon les données d’EPFR Global. Sur l’ensemble de l’année, les fonds actions accusent une décollecte de 160,1 milliards de dollars alors que les fonds obligataires enregistrent une collecte nette de 110,6 milliards de dollars.Les fonds d’actions des marchés développés terminent l’année sur une décollecte de 123,84 milliards de dollars contre 65,66 milliards de dollars l’année précédente. Les fonds dédiés à l’Europe occidentale ont réduit la décollecte de l’année à 15,86 milliards de dollars contre 22,83 milliards en 2010 avec toutefois une exception notable, les fonds d’actions allemandes qui ont drainé 18,83 milliards de dollars après 6,15 milliards de dollars en 2010.Les fonds d’actions américaines, grâce à l’intérêt des investisseurs institutionnels, ont terminé le quatrième trimestre sur une collecte nette de 3,68 milliards de dollars mais sur l’ensemble de l’année, les actions américaines ont souffert du désintérêt chronique de la clientèle retail et la décollecte s’est accrue à 75,94 milliards de dollars contre 48,71 milliards de dollars en 2010.Du côté des fonds d’actions émergentes, l’année s’est achevée sur une décollecte de 47,71 milliards de dollars alors que 2010 s’était soldée par des souscriptions nettes pour un montant de 95,63 milliards de dollars.A noter enfin que malgré des rendements proches de zéro, les fonds monétaires terminent l’année sur une décollecte presque divisée par cinq à 108,39 milliards de dollars contre 498,87 milliards de dollars en 2010.
Selon le classement national 2011 des banques conseils en fusions-acquisitions (M&A), réalisé par L’Agefi, BNP Paribas reste en tête pour la troisième année consécutive devant les banques américaines Goldman Sachs et Morgan.Pour sa part, SG CIB a connu une forte progression en valeur comme en nombre de transactions conseillées (52 au lieu de 19). La banque de la Défense arrive également deuxième du conseil auprès des fonds, derrière Rothschild et devant HSBC, et quatrième du conseil aux midcaps (de moins de 500 millions d’euros de valeur), derrière Rothschild, BNP Paribas et Leonardo. Rothschild reste globalement le conseil le plus actif en nombre de transactions (87).En 2011, précise le quotidien, l’activité a été forte avec près de 190 milliards d’euros échangés (en 705 transactions), contre 100 en 2010 et 112 milliards pour 2009. L’année 2012 ne s’annonce pas sous les meilleurs auspices. Les grands groupes à la trésorerie abondante ne se risquent plus sur des acquisitions majeures, dans un contexte de forte volatilité où les financements se sont renchéris.
This year, Sequoia Fund will once again rank among the best value equity funds in the United States, Bloomberg reports. On 27 December, Sequoia, whose assets under management total about USD4.7bn, posted gains of about 14% since the beginning of the year for 2011, a performance better than 99% of value equity funds, according to data from the Bloomberg agency. The cause of this performance is a decision on the part of Sequoia to sell off half of its shares in Berkshire Hathaway, the holding company in Warrenn Buffett, beginning in 2010, even though the firm had delivered exceptional returns in the previous four quarters. The proceeds of these sales were reinvested in promising firmzs such as the pharmaceuticals distributor Valeant Pharmaceuticals International. As of 30 September last year, shares in Berkshire represented only 11% of assets for Sequoia, compared with 20% as of the end of 2009, and 35% in 2004. In the past five years, Sequoia has earned annual returns of 4.3%, compared with gains of only 1% for Berkshire.
The Indian government has decided to allow qualified foreign investors (QFIs) to invest directly in the local stock markets, Agefi reports. These investors will now be allowed to individually hold up to 5% of shares in Indian companies. The new rule will come into effect on 15 January, according to an announcement made on Sunday, 1 January. Previously, only foreign institutional investors and Indians resident abroad had been allowed to invest directly in domestic equities, the newspaper states.
The last days of the year 2011 saw investors continuing to dig themselves into defensive positions, as two groups of funds attracted the majority of inflows: US equity funds and bond funds. In the week ending on 28 December, equity funds overall attracted a net total of USD412m, while inflows to bond funds totalled USD1.98bn, according to statistics from EPFR Global. For the year as a whole, equity funds have seen outflows of USD160.1bn, while bond funds have posted net inflows of USD110.6bn. Equity funds in developed markets finished the year with outflows of USD123.84bn, compared with USD65.66bn the previous year. Funds dedicated to western Europe reduced inflows for the year to USD15.86bn, compared with USD22.83bn in 2010, with one notable exception in German equity funds, which attracted USD18.83bn, up from USD6.15bn in 2010. US equity funds finished fourth quarter with net inflows of USD3.68bn, thanks to interest from institutional invetors, but for the year as a whole, US equity funds suffered due to a chronic lack of interest on the part of retail clients, and net outflows increased to USD75.94bn, compared with USD48.71bn in 2010. For emerging markets, the year ended with outflows of USD47.71bn, while 2010 had brought net subscrip[tions totalling USD95.63bn. Despite near-zero returns, money market funds finished the year with outflows nearly five times lower, at USD108.39bn, compared with USD498.87bn in 2010.
The Börsen-Zeitung reports that the asset management firm DJE Investment has announced the closure of the real estate fund of funds DJE Real Estate. Since 28 December, no shares in the fund have been purchased or sold. DJE explains that the closure is due to difficulties in redeeming shares in several funds present in its portfolio, including the TWM Immobilien Weltfonds, Degi German Business and Degi Global funds. The liquidation of the portfolio may take several years, the finance newspaper reports.
As of the end of December, assets under management in Spanish securities funds totalled slightly under EUR127.6bn, representing an increase of 0.9% compared with the end of November, but a contraction of 12.1% compared with the EUR145.2bn recorded at the end of 2010. According to the Inverco association of asset management firms, the positive evolution of the bond markets allowed funds to return to asset levels last seen at the end of October. In terms of flows, 2011 brought net redemptions of EUR8.95bn (of which EUR1.05bn were in December), compared with net outflows of EUR14.95bn the previous year. Since the beginning of 2010, Spanish funds have posted only two months of net subscriptions, in March and April 2011. June and July 2010 were marked by record net outflows of over EUR3bn per month.
A Société Générale venture capital fund will be temporarily suspending its participation in initial public offerings in China, a rare decision for an institutional investor, following several initial offerings on the market at prices the bank considers high, the Reuters news agency reports. Fortune SGAM Fund Management estimates that it has become impossible for fund managers to get a fair price in offerings and to conduct a cull study of issuers’ businesses. “In order to improve the effectiveness of our investments and our research, we have decided to suspend our participation in the construction of order books for initial public offerings, and we will not attend presentations to investors by issuers and subscribers,” Fortune SGAM says in a statement released in Shanghai.
The Canadian asset management and portfolio management firm Power Corporation of Canada has announced that it has finalised the purchase of a 10% stake of China Asset Management co. (China AMC from its current owner, CITIC Securities Co. This transaction was announced on August 11, 2011. China Asset Management, established in 1998, was one of the first asset management companies approved by the Chinese securities regulatory commission, a statement points out. The acquisition price has not been disclosed by the parties.
Funds investing in British government bonds (gilts) have dominated the rankings in the UK for the best performances in 2011, according to data from Morningstar, Money Marketing reports. Eight out of the ten best funds of the year were British government bond funds and inflation-linked gilt funds. The best fund was the Henderson long-dated gilt, which earned returns of 24% between 1 January 2011 and 20 December 2011, followed closely by the Henderson index-linked bond fund and the BAM UK long-dated gilt, which earned gains in the same period of 23.59% and 23.58%, respectively. Less than one fund in six managed to finish the year 2011 with gains. According to Morningstar, the worst performer was the HSBC Gif Indian equity fund, which lost 46%
According to 2011 national rankings of banks advising merger and acquisition (M&A) operations by Agefi, BNP Paribas leads the pack for the third consecutive year, ahead of US banks such as Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. SG CIB, for its part, has seen a strong increase in the value and in the number of transactions advised (52, up from 19). The bank, headquartered at La Défense in Paris, places second for advising to funds, after Rothschild, and ahead of HSBC, and fourth as advisor to midcaps (less than EUR500m in value), after Rothshild, BNP Paribas and Leonardo. Rothschild overall remains the most active advisor by number of transactions (87). In 2011, the newspaper reports, activity was strong, with nearly EUR190bn changing hands (in 705 transactions), compared with EUR100bn in 2010, and EUR112bn in 2009. The year 2012 does not show the brightest promise, however. The major groups with large treasury arsenals are not likely to take risks on major acquisitions, in a context of high volatility and costly financing.
Professional sectors will be likely to begin the new year with apprehension, Les Echos reports. Buildings and public works are anticipating a considerable decrease in their activities. The debt crisis and toughening regulations have “smashed” the economic recovery in its steps, the buildings federation says. Some sectors are nonetheless performing well, such as chemicals, machinery and IT, where activities may have slowed, but will be likely to continue to grow at a slower pace.
After several years of decline, the budgets allocated by wealth management firms to information technologies (IT) may begin rising again in 2012. Wealth managers will increase their IT budgets by an average of 5% to 10%, according to a survey undertaken over the past two months in North America and Latin America by the research agency Celent. Latin American wealth managers will be slightly more aggressive than their North American counterparts, and may increase their IT spending by an average of 10% to 15%. While during the market turbulence of the past few years most firms have concentrated their efforts on maintenance, the outlooks for an exit from the crisis have led some actors to begin new projects. Celent nonetheless admits that the desire to move into new generations of technology remains highly limited. Wealth managers in North America, like their neighbours to the south, are engaged in efforts to provide their advisers with tools that provide them not only with an overall view of their objectives and their assets, but also that improve communications with clients. They are also working to adapt to demand on the part of clients for more transparency and control. Wealth managers will therefore be adding new client relationship management (CRM) systems and reporting tools to their arsenals. The launch of mobile apps for smartphones and tablets is the next step in improving communications with clients. Celent nonetheless observes that the addition of these mobile apps for both advisers and end users is gaining momentum only very slowly. These technologies are not yet considered an indispensable element for wealth managers, who are tending to put the emphasis rather on tablet applications for advisers than on smartphone apps.
Nearly USD6.3trn @font-face { font-family: «Cambria"; }p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal { margin: 0cm 0cm 0.0001pt; font-size: 12pt; font-family: «Times New Roman"; }div.Section1 { page: Section1; }was erased from global stock markets in 2011, the Financial Times reports. Global market capitalisation fell by 12.1%, to USD45.7trn, according to Bloomberg. At the same time, the euro finished the year as the worst-performing major currency. On Friday, it was trading at its lowest level in 10 years against the yen.
Since 20 December, JPMorgan Asset Managememnt (Europe) SARL is no longer accepting new subscriptions or swithces into the money market fund JP Morgan Liquidity Funds – Euro Government Liquidity Fund, the Luxembourg-based asset management firms says. Subscriptions from investors already holding shares in the fund must also be approved by the asset management firm by advance notice before being allowed to proceed. However, there are no restrictions on redemptions or switches out of the fund. JPMAM is not planning to reopen the fund to subscriptions until such a time as it considers it to be in the interest of existing shareholders.
Dans le cadre d’une table ronde organisée par amLeague et Newsmanagers, Alain Koutouan, directeur Actuariat et Finance du groupe de protection sociale IRCEM: L’IRCEM gère un portefeuille d’actifs légèrement supérieur au milliard d’euros. Nous avons une gestion moyen et long terme déléguée sous forme de fonds dédiés et ouverts (6 au total). En interne, nous gérons le court terme, ce qui représente un peu plus de 10%. Un comité financier se réunit mensuellement, qui définit en réalité les actions à mener compte tenu de l’environnement. Il y a également un comité de gestion qui se réunit tous les trimestres. Même si nous gérons en interne le court terme, nous avons une action très claire sur le moyen et le long terme. Nous donnons notre vision et des indications sur la marche à suivre, tout en restant à l'écoute. C’est d’ailleurs pour cela qu’on a délégué la gestion. Nous échangeons pour déterminer quelles meilleures solutions adopter en fonction des circonstances. Aujourd’hui, pour piloter nos expositions, nous définissons une limite d’exposition, et par zone géographique et par zone d’activité, la perte maximale acceptable qui nous permettra de caper nos expositions aussi bien en direct que dans les différents fonds qui sont dans le portefeuille. Ce qui nous permettra, dans le pire des cas, on l’espère, de ne pas prendre de plein fouet l’effet des risques systémiques. Notre poche actions représente 25 % de nos encours. Nous avons revu notre exposition sur certains pays de la zone européenne, sur certains pays périphériques pour lesquels on ne croit pas au redressement futur. Clairement nous n’avons plus de Grèce dans notre portefeuille. Aujourd’hui, bien évidemment, les stratégies des différentes sociétés de gestion ne sont pas nécessairement convergentes avec notre allocation stratégique. On essaie d’amener les différentes sociétés de gestion vers notre allocation stratégique. Pour ce qui est des performances, il faut un rendement pour ne pas être exposé à des risques et ne pas être amené à provisionner un aléa financier parce que le rendement aura été inférieur de 80 % au taux technique. Mais ce n’est pas le rendement à tout prix qui fait qu’on va prendre des risques inconsidérés, mais il faut un minimum qui nous permette d'être au-delà du taux technique utilisé.
Avec un déficit estimé à 8% du PIB en 2011, bien au-dessus de l’objectif de 6%, le pays a annoncé le 30 décembre de nouvelles mesures, dont une taxe temporaire sur les hauts revenus, le maintien du gel des salaires des fonctionnaires et des économies de 8,9 milliards d’euros.
Les ventes au détail britanniques pour le mois de décembre devraient avoir accusé une baisse en termes réels, selon le journal qui cite le British Retail Consortium (BRC). Si les ventes pourraient être en hausse en valeur absolue par rapport à décembre 2010, cette hausse ne devrait néanmoins pas être suffisante pour compenser l’effet de la hausse des prix.
Le ministre brésilien des finances, Guido Mantega, a estimé dans un article publié dans le quotidien que la croissance en 2012 serait comprise entre 4 et 5%. Le quotidien indique également que le gouvernement pourrait réaliser dix milliards de réaux de coupes budgétaires supplémentaires (soit 60 milliards au total) en 2012 pour atteindre son objectif d’excédent primaire.