Investors in 2013 are looking for the best terms possible, with an appetite for risk not seen in nine years, according to the latest BofA Merrill Lynch survey of a sample of 354 respondents representing cumulative assets under management of USD754bn, undertaken between 4 and 0 January.Global investors have entered 2013 in buoyant but not yet exuberant mood. The new year sees asset allocators assigning more funds to equities than at any time since February 2011, while their confidence in the world’s economic outlook has reached its most positive level since April 2010.Investors’ appetite for risk in their portfolios is now at its highest in nine years, while an increasing number judge equities as undervalued – particularly in Europe. Moreover, investors have reduced cash holdings to 3.8 percent from 4.2 percent in December.Participants’ perception of the U.S. fiscal crisis as the biggest “tail risk” for asset markets has calmed (down nearly 20 percentage points in two months), though it remains their largest concern. Views of China remain very positive, with a net 63 percent still anticipating a stronger economy this year, but one in seven sees a Chinese hard landing as their number one risk.Investors’ bullishness reflects a growing confidence in economic recovery. A net 59 percent now expect the global economy to strengthen this year, compared to a net 40 percent a month ago. This marks the panel’s most positive outlook since April 2010. An increasing proportion of respondents expect inflation to pick up as well.The panel has shifted its stance on financial stocks strongly, moving to its first net overweight in global bank names since February 2007 following a 15 percentage move versus last month. Nevertheless, banks are still perceived as the global equity market’s most undervalued sector. The existing overweight in insurance has also been extended, particularly in Europe, and now stands its highest level since January 2007.
The SS&C GlobeOp hedge fund performance index posted a gross return of 1.27% in December, Investment Europe reports. The index of net inflows (Capital Movement Index), for its part, shows a decline of 2.58% in the month of January. Assets under administration by the GlobeOp platform currently represent about 10% of assets invested in the hedge fund sector.
The Dow Jones Credit Suisse hedge fund index gained 1.48% in December, following gains of 0.64% in November. For the year as a whole, the index is up 7.67%. All strategies of the index contributed to this performance, except the dedicated short bias strategy, which lost 2.95% in December, and more than 20% for the year. Among the best results of the month are emerging market strategies, with 2.3% in December and 10.28% for the year as a whole, and event-driven, which was up 1.98% for the month, and 10.63% for the year.
As of 31 December, assets at the German asset management firm Mainfirst Asset Management topped EUR3bn, a record, compared with EUR1.1bn twelve months previously. The firm declined to tell Newsmangers the respective level of assets under management in eight open-ended funds and in mandates; the distribution appears to be about 50/50, according to some sources familiar with the matter. The largest fund from the Frankfurt-based asset management firm is the Mainfirst Top European Ideas Fund, with about EUR1.3bn.Mainfirst AM did not wish to provide details about net subscription levels either. A statement says merely that the product range grew in 2012 with the addition of a quantitative equity strategy, the MainFirst North America fund (managed by a former Swisscanto manager), two bond strategies, including the MainFirst Emerging Markets Corporate Bond Fund Balanced (managed by former Clariden Leu managers), the recruitment of a team from Postbank Financial Services (which will bring out a new fund this year), and lastly, the creation of a multi-asset class unit. For the latter, Mainfirst has already applied for sales licenses for three open-ended absolute return funds, which will be managed by a team recruited from DB Advisors.
AXA Private Equity on Tuesday, 15 January announced the sale of the Curtiss-Wright Corporation of its stake in the Phönix/Strack group , a leader in the design and production of special plumbing for companies active in the energy, petrochemical and chemical industries. The sale price totals EUR82m. The completion of the operation is pending approval from antitrust authorities.
The German insurer Allianz on 15 January confirmed its operating projections for 2012, despite EUR455m in charges due to Hurricane Sandy in the United States. “Despite the impact of hurricane Sandy, we continue to predict an operating profit for 2012 of over EUR9bn,” the CFO of Allianz, Dieter Wemmer, says in a statement. The insurer at the end of October announced the operating profit outlook of over EUR9bn at the end of October, but had warned that this figure included a merely provisional evaluation of damages related to hurricate Sandy, which was not disclosed at that time. Stating that the figure remains provisional, Allianz now estimates the damage at USD590m, or EUR455m, the total cost of reimbursements to clients and of their associated expenses.
As of 30 April, Peter Ebertz will be leaving his job as managing partner of Bankhaus Lampe KG (a business owned by the Oetker family), for personal reasons. The private bank states that Ebertz is responsible for branches and relationships with high net worth private clients, as well as business clients.Nicholas Blanchard, who joined Lampe on 1 March 2012 from Bayerische HypoVereinsbank (HVB), will be appointed as a managing partner alongside Stephan Schüller and Ulrich Cosse. He will be responsible for all market activities of the bank.The Düsseldorf institute also reports that Ute Gerbaulet (formerly of Commerzbank) was recruited on 1 January 2013 as head of the capital markets & advisory unit; she also joins the extended executive board of Bankhaus Lampe.
The asset management firm Fourpoints Investment Managers, born of a merger in March 2012 of PIM Gestion France and IT Asset Management (see Newsmanagers of 8 June 2012), has assets of EUR876m, compared with EUR750m at the time of the merger. EUR41m of that increase is due to market appreciation, and EUR85mof it to net inflows, Muriel Faure, CEO, and Michael Raud, deputy CEO and CIO, announced on Tuesday.At its presentation, the firm emphasized its French-registered, UCITS-compliant FCP fund Fourpoints Euro Global Leaders, which currently has only EUR16m in assets, though the strategy has nearly EUR150m, of which EUR120m are in a mandate received in the second half of last year from a pension fund. Over five years, the fund shows annual returns of 0.6%, compared with losses of 6,1% for the MSCI EMU DNR, and over three years, annual gains come to 7.4%, compared with 1.3% for the benchmark.
The US alternative management firm Mariner Investment Group on 15 January announced the acquisition of Concordia Advisors, an alternative asset management firm with offices in New York and London, and assets under management totalling about USD1bn. Following the complete separation of Concordia’s activities from Mariner, the investment teams at Concordia, and some support functions will join Mariner. Portfolio managers at Concordia, Arun Puri, John Eckert, James Wise, Chris Dillon and Jason Cheung, will continue to manage their respective funds under the Mariner brand name. The head of Concordia, Best Williams, becomes deputy chief investment officer at Mariner, and joins the investment board, as well as the board of directors at Mariner. Assets under management at Mariner in mid-2012 totalled about USD4.7bn.
BNP Paribas Wealth Management has appointed Florent Bronès as chief investment officer. He is responsible for establishing a global investment strategy and drawing up recommendations on specific investment themes in concert with the international network of chief investment advisors, which he coordinates.BNP Paribas Wealth Management is strengthening its investment strategy resources in order to meet the growing demand from its Private Banking clientele for market intelligence. Given the rapid and complex developments taking place in the financial marketplace, the ability to communicate a clear view of the markets is key for BNP Paribas Wealth Management to be able to provide clients with first-class advice on how to invest their assets. In order to meet this need, BNP Paribas Wealth Management is able, when drawing up its investment strategy, to call on Group-wide expertise in various specialist fields – including asset management, investment banking and real estate – in addition to Wealth Management’s own global and local analysis capability.Before joining BNP Paribas Wealth Management, Bronès served from 2008 as director of the buy-side research office for Global Equities and Commodity Derivatives (GECD), and concentrated on developing investment strategy.
Christian Pellis joined Amundi at the beginning of this year as global head of external distribution, a position that was before covered by the head of institutional clients.Pellis previously worked at LGT Capital Management, as head of distribution. He was also a member of the executive board (2010-2012).However, Pellis has spent the majority of his career at Threadneedle Investments, first in Frankfurt as regional director of sales for Europe (1998-2001), and then in London, where he served in a similar role as head of development for new markets in Europe and Latin America (2002-2004). He then spent six years as head of European distribution in London, specialised in institutional clients in Europe and Latin America (2004-2010).
The Californian pension fund CalSTRS has invested USD50m in the global macro strategy from the manager of the hedge fund MKP Capital Management in the quarter ending on 31 December, Pensions & Investments reports. MKP Capital is the third hedge fund manager to be selected by CalSTRS, whose assets under management total about USD154.3bn.
Fidelity Worldwide Investment has today announced that it is recruiting for its institutional team in France, with the arrival of Anne-Charlotte Aguttes as head of the Clients – Institutional and Corporate department. She joins Jean-Marc Didier, who is head of this activity, with whom she will work closely to strengthen Fidelity’s presence serving French institutional clients, a statement says. Before joining Fidelity, Anne-Charlotte Aguttes served as senior RFP Manager at State Street Global Advisors in Paris, where she had worked since 2006, as a specialist in institutional requests for proposals, covering all strategies and asset classes offered by the group.
The most popular investment criterion for institutional investors in 2013 will be the quality of results announced by businesses, before macroeconomic data is taken into account, according to the most recent European Corporate Survey by Crédit Agricole Cheuvreux, conducted between 23 October and 6 November, of 270 international investors in 28 countries. More than 50% of international investors, and 78% of US investors, say that profits at businesses will be the most important criterion in their investment decisions in 2013. Only 24% of investors estimate that macroeconomic criteria will be important, compared with 32% currently. The survey finds that 81% of investors surveyed estimate that the Euro Stoxx 50 index will rise until 30 June 2013, while 46% estimate that the index will remain in a range of 0 to +10%, and 35% predict that the index will gain at least 10%. One third of investors hope to increase the number of corporate meetings in 2012, as “corporate access” is now indissociable from the investment decision. 50% of US investors who participated in the study would like to increase the number of corporate meetings in the next 12 months. British and French investors value these contacts: 43% and 34%, respectively, meet with more than 60 companies per year (compared with an average of 27).
In a difficult fundraising environment, a growing number of new hedge fund firms is setting up shop in New York, where they estimate that it is easier to get noticed, the Wall Street Journal reports. Of the new hedge fund firms opening in Manhattan or Greenwich or Stamford in Connecticut, about 86% have chosen New York, on average, between 2003 and 2008, accorsing to eVestment. In 2009 and 2010, Manhattan accounted for 92% of fund launches. 2011 data indicate that the trend has continued.
The Préfon association on 15 January announced that its Préfon-Retraite pension scheme has generated inflows of EUR430m in the past twelve months, an increase of 3.4% year on year. The leader in elective retirement savings for public employees has also announced that the number of new members joining the Préfon-Retraite scheme rose 15% in 2012 compared with the previous year, with 8,500 new subscriptions. As of the end of September 2012, assets at Préfon-Retraite totalled about EUR11.2bn.
The asset management firm ECM Asset Management, an affiliate of the Wells Fargo banking group, has appointed Jens Vanbrabant as co-manager of two of its largest funds in the Sicav range, Citywire reports. Vanbrabant becomes the third manager of the European Credit Fund Sicav-Elbe, whose assets under management total EUR467m, and co-manager of the European Credit Fund Sicav-Danube (EUR82m). The managers in place for these strategies, Henrietta Pacquement and Derek Hynes, will retain their positions, but will now be supported by Vanbrabant. Despite these new duties, Vanbrabant will continue to manage the three funds that he currently manages, one European bond fund (European Credit Fund Sicav-Interlaken), one corporate bond fund (European Credit Fund Sicav – European Corporate), and one European bond mandate for Universal Investment.
The British firm M&G is planning to merge two UK equity funds, the UK Select, whose assets under management total GBP81m, and the UK Growth Fund (GBP546m), Money Marketing reports. The two funds are currently managed by Mike Felton, who took over as manager of the UK Growth Fund in December last year. Pending the approval of shareholders, the two funds will merge on 15 March this year.
The Australian asset management firm AMP Capital has announced recruitments for its alternative management team, with the appointments of Alistair Rew and Celine Nguyen as portfolio managers. Rew previously worked at XL Group, where he was most recently managing director. Nguyen, for her part, was an analyst at EIM Management, where she led due diligence missions for investments in hedge funds.
Le Parlement européen a adopté la nouvelle réglementation sur les agences de notation dont les défaillances et l’influence avaient été pointées du doigt après l'éclatement de la crise financière de 2007. Le texte, qui résulte d’un compromis trouvé entre le Conseil, la Commission et le Parlement européens, devrait entrer en vigueur cette année.
Les prix à la consommation ont augmenté de 0,4% en décembre dans la zone euro, en raison de la hausse des prix de l’alimentation principalement, selon des données publiées mercredi par Eurostat. Le taux d’inflation sur un an est ressorti à 2,2%, comme en novembre, a ajouté Eurostat en confirmant son estimation préliminaire communiquée le 4 janvier.
La banque suisse UBS a ouvert une filiale en nom propre en Chine mercredi, ce qui lui permettra de mener des opérations en yuans dans des domaines clefs comme la gestion de fortune. Une quarantaine de banques étrangères, dont JPMorgan Chase & Co, Morgan Stanley et HSBC ont déjà créé des filiales en Chine pour tirer parti de la croissance de la seconde économie mondiale.
La société vient de mettre sur pied un fonds de «loans» pour financer les entreprises, et prévoit d'étendre cette offre à d’autres compartiments en 2013.
Le ministre de l’Economie et des Finances, Pierre Moscovici, a confirmé lors d’un entretien sur RTL mardi matin que le taux du Livret A passera bien de 2,25% aujourd’hui à 1,75% à partir du 1er février prochain. Cette annonce était attendue alors que le gouverneur de la Banque de France, Christian Noyer, avait recommandé un jour plus tôt d’adopter ce taux de 1,75% qui ne reflète que partiellement la baisse de l’inflation.