Pour la première fois depuis 1941, l’agence a retiré la note «AAA» à la dette américaine avec une perspective négative, relançant la polémique entre les Etats et les agences de notation. Le Trésor a mis en cause «la crédibilité et l’intégrité» de S&P.
L'économiste Kikis Kazamias a été nommé nouveau ministre des Finances de Chypre, à la suite de la démission il y a dix jours du gouvernement. Kikis Kazamias pourrait avoir la tâche de négocier avec les institutions européennes alors que Chypre pourrait devenir le quatrième pays de la zone euro à demander à rejoindre le mécanisme de soutien de l’Union européenne.
Standard & Poor’s a confirmé la note BBB+ de l’Irlande, assortie d’une perspective stable, alors que sa concurrente Moody’s l’a récemment abaissée à spéculative. L’agence estime que l’Etat irlandais devrait revenir sur le marché de la dette d’ici à 2014. «Nous estimons que la solvabilité de l’Irlande est confortée par un fort consensus politique en faveur de l’assainissement budgétaire», déclare S&P. Elle estime que le coût marginal de financement du pays sera de 6% au maximum d’ici à janvier 2014, contre plus de 10% aujourd’hui. La dette devrait atteindre 110% du produit intérieur brut (PIB) en 2013 avant de tomber à 103% en 2015.
La Bourse de Paris a essuyé vendredi sa dixième séance de baisse consécutive. Tombé à 3.278,56 points, le CAC 40 a chuté de 14,68% en dix jours. Un krach rampant d’une longueur jamais vue, même au plus fort de la crise Lehman Brothers ou post-11 Septembre. En septembre 2002, l’indice avait perdu 19% en neuf séances de baisse consécutives.
Les premières réponses du marché actions à la dégradation de la note américaine par S&P ne sont guères encourageantes. Après une suspension des échanges de 45 minutes suite à l’importante baisse enregistrée à l’ouverture, l’indice TA-100 des cent premières valeurs de la Bourse de Tel-Aviv a finalement clôturé sur une chute de près de 7%. Plus tôt, l’indice de la Bourse de Dubaï a terminé en baisse de 3,69 % après avoir ouvert sur un recul de 4,5 % pour son premier jour de cotation de la semaine.
Suite à l’intervention de la Banque centrale du Japon la semaine dernière, le vice-ministre des Finances du pays, Fumihiko Igarashi, a indiqué que le gouvernement se tenait prêt à mener une nouvelle opération de vente de sa devise sur le marché des changes afin «d’avertir ceux qui font fluctuer anormalement» les cours. Plus tôt, l’ancien ministre des Finances, Eisuke Sakakibara, s'était inquiété de l’inefficacité de telles politiques, anticipant même une appréciation de la devise à 73 yens pour un dollar d’ici à la fin de l’année.
Timothy Geithner a averti le président Barack Obama qu’il entendait rester à son poste de secrétaire au Trésor, selon un communiqué transmis hier par le Trésor américain. «Le secrétaire Geithner a fait savoir au président qu’il comptait rester à son poste au Trésor», a déclaré la secrétaire-adjointe au Trésor Jenni LeCompte. Timothy Geithner veut «s’occuper des défis que l'économie américaine doit surmonter», poursuit le communiqué.
La note «AAA» de la dette souveraine française est stable, a déclaré hier au micro de France Inter l'économiste en chef de l’agence de notation Standard & Poor’s pour l’Europe, Jean-Michel Six. Après la dégradation de la note souveraine des Etats-Unis vendredi soir, certains économistes commençaient à estimer que la note française pourrait être mise à mal. En cause, le niveau des CDS qui avoisinent les 144 points de base. «Des pays européens tels que la France, l’Italie, la Belgique, et même la Grande-Bretagne sont vulnérables à une dégradation», estime Neil Mackinnon, stratégiste chez VTB Capital. Si la France, dont la note a été confirmée dans les derniers mois par les trois agences de notation, affiche une dette nette représentant 84,7% de son PIB, Jean-Michel Six a expliqué que la direction politique et la bonne gouvernance constituaient des facteurs importants d'évaluation pour son agence.
Global markets took a dive on Thursday, as the interventions of central banks in Europe and Japan failed to soothe investors’ worries about economic growth and the eurozone debt crisis, the Financial Times reports. The European Central Bank bought government bonds for the first time since March, following an intervention by the Bank of Japan to halt the rise of yen and a rate cut by the Turkish central bank. The Italian market fell 5%, while the FTSE 100 in London and the German Dax 30 both lost 3.4%, and the S&P 500 dropped nearly 4.8%, a steeper fall than in the first day of trading following the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the FT reports.
As of 30 June, assets at Aviva Investors totalled GBP269bn, an increase of nearly 9% over the corresponding period of 2010, when they stood at GBP248bn. The firm says that net inflows from third parties (excluding money market funds) totalled GBP2.5bn, more than the GBP2.4bn it took in over the entirety of the year 2010. That represents a 212% increase compared with first half 2010 (GBP0.8bn). Operating profits totalled GBP41m, a slight decrease compared with GBP42m one year ago.
Over the first six months of 2011, Schroders achieved GBP5.1 billion of net inflows and assets under management reached a new high of GBP204.8 billion (31 December 2010: GBP196.7 billion). Profit before tax in the first half of the year was also at its highest level, up 15 per cent. at GBP215.7 million (H1 2010: GBP 188.2 million).Net inflows in Institutional were GBP4.6 billion with a high level of new business won in Multi-Asset strategies as well as good net inflows in Equities and Fixed Income. Assets under management in Institutional at the end of June were GBP112.7 billion (31 December 2010: GBP106.4 billion).The environment in Intermediary was more challenging. Net inflows in the first half were GBP0.4 billion (H1 2010: GBP5.1 billion). Assets under management in Intermediary at the end of June were GBP75.4 billion (31 December 2010: GBP74.1 billion).In the Private Banking unit, net inflows were GBP0.1 billion (H1 2010: GBP1.2 billion) and assets under management at the end of June were GBP16.7 billion (31 December 2010: GBP16.2 billion).
The Hedge Fund Standards Board (HFSB) is launching an international drive to sign up more hedge fund managers in the US and Asia now that most leading European managers have become signatories. The HFSB, which brings together investors and managers to promote high standards of practice in the industry, will also be seeking to bring more US investors on board. Launched in 2008, the Standards set out good practice for managers and are constantly reviewed by international investors and managers in the light of experience. Nearly 60 hedge fund managers accounting for USD215bn of assets under management are signatories and nearly 50 of the leading international investors in hedge funds support the initiative.As part of this process, the HFSB is consulting on a series of amendments to make the Standards more relevant internationally and to strengthen them in the light of the financial crisis. Amelia Fawcett, Chairman of the HFSB, said: “The Standards are now widely accepted in the European market and most of the leading hedge fund managers in the UK and Continental Europe have become signatories. Investors are now telling us that they would like to see wider adoption of the Standards by managers in the US and Asian markets.”
Skandia Investment Group (SIG) has awarded a GBP28m mandate to James Inglis-Jones and Gary West of Liontrust in its Skandia UK Best Ideas Fund. The duo has been running a mandate in the Skandia European Best Ideas Fund since it launched over 3 years ago and has demonstrated that their investment process holds good for UK equities. The addition of James Inglis-Jones and Gary West to the UK Best Ideas line-up sees them taking over the mandate from Jacob de Tusch Lec of Artemis who is now concentrating on running his Global Equity Income Fund. Jacob de Tusch Lec has also been removed from the Skandia Global Best Ideas Fund but not replaced. His assets have instead been allocated across the four existing UK managers within the fund.
The Financial Times reports that Lee Robinson, the founder of the London-based hedge fund Trafalgar Asset Managers, is preparing a new hedge fund which will profit from the devaluation and collapse of western economies. According to the marketing documents viewed by the newspaper, the fund, called Altana Sovereign Diversity Fund, will be positioned against France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and the United States.
Franklin Templeton Investments has launched the Franklin Templeton Global Allocation fund, a fund which invests in products from the group’s multi-asset class team, Franklin Templeton Multi-Asset Strategies (MTAS), Investment Week reports. The fund, which includes equities, bonds, and currencies, is managed by Brent Smith and Samer Habl.
Asset Management volumes at Natixis totaled EUR533 billion at June 30, 2011, vs EUR530 billion at March 31, 2011. Net inflows totaled EUR2.5 billion. Excluding money market funds, inflows worked out at EUR7.2 billion, driven by funds generating high margins in the United States, resulting in a further improvement in the business mix.In Europe, assets under management totaled EUR316 billion, down 0.8% since the start of the year. The French market is still difficult, with net outflows of EUR3.8 billion on money market funds.In the United States, assets under management totaled USD313 billion, up 7.2% since the start of the year. In the first half of 2011 net inflows amounted to USD11.1 billion, with a good balance by asset class, demonstrating the effectiveness of the multi-boutique model. Asset Management revenues were up 3% in Q2-11 vs Q2-10 at EUR356 million (+12% at constant exchange rates), thanks chiefly to an improvement in commissions in the United States. Expenses were up 8% vs Q2-10, due to investments made in Europe (H2O and Ossiam) and in Asia (Singapore platform).
The asset management business line at Dexia has seen an increase in its assets to EUR84.6bn as of 30 June 2011, compared with EUR82.6bn one year ago, but down compared with a total of EUR86.4bn as of the end of 2010. After a first half in 2011 which was marked by net inflows of USD0.4bn, second quarter 2011 was impacted by outflows of EUR1.7bn, largely from retail funds and institutional money market funds, due to increasing uncertainty about the markets, the Dexia group states. In second quarter 2011, pre-tax profits totalled EUR18m, in line with the figure for second quarter 2010, and up 5% compared with first quarter 2011. In first half 2011, asset management posted a pre-tax profit of EUR35m, in line with first half 2010.
For the first half of the year ending on 30 June, net profits at Groupama S.A. are up 16% year on year, at EUR147m as of 30 June 2011. This figure includes a provision for an ongoing depreciation of Greek sovereign debt of EUR84m, a statement says. Earnings from Groupama asset management firms are up 0.7% to EUR74m as of 30 June 2011, the group says. Assets under management at Groupama Asset Management and its affiliates are stable at EUR90m, “in a context of falling markets,” the insurer points out.
The French asset management association (AFG) is holding its first “promotional conference for the French asset management industry” in London on 12 October this year, bringing together asset management firms, depositories, auditors and law firms. The conference aims to “highlight the many qualities of players in the French market to the London community: first of all professional investors, but also distributors, consultants, lawyers, and the local press,” the professional association says. The conference, in which various French and European professionals will participate, will treat subjects including regulation (UCITS IV, AIFM), ETFs, and entrepreneurial asset management firms.
The US state of Texas, better known for cowboys and cattle, is wearing an increasingly big hat in the world of hedge funds, the Economist reports. Texan hedge funds now manage about USD40bn, making it the fifth-largest US state by hedge fund assets, according to Blue Heron Group. The three largest funds are Maverick Capital, Carlson Capital and HBK Capital. One of the reasons cited by the weekly newsmagazine for the phenomenon is the low cost of living and of operating businesses in Texas. A negative point is that raising capital locally can be difficult, to the extent that many Texan hedge funds also have offices in New York or... they remain relatively small.
Lyxor Asset Management has listed an ETF on Deutsche Börse investing in government bonds from emerging markets in a phase of rapid economic development, Fondsprofessionell reports. The product in question, the Lyxor ETF iBoxx $ Liquid Emerging Markets Sovereigns fund, replicates the Markit iBoxx $ Liquid Emerging Markets Sovereigns index.
According to reports in FAZ relayed by das investment, the German financial management association (BVI) has decided to hire a PR agency to promote open-ended real estate funds in Germany. The association is hoping to improve the image of this type of investment, which has had negative press for several years.
Aduléo est née de l’association de trois cabinets de gestion de patrimoine indépendants qui sont répartis sur le Sud parisien, Montpellier et Toulouse. En 2008, le contrat d’assurance vie sur Internet Aduléo est crée en partenariat avec Generali. Les clients investissent en moyenne à 80% dans les fonds en euros et à 20% dans les unités de compte. Instit Invest: Quel est le profil de votre clientèle ? Aduléo: La clientèle est variée mais avertie malgré tout. Les clients Internet recherchent la performance, la facilité mais aussi des solutions de remplacement aux fonds en euros. Compte tenu de la baisse du rendement des emprunts d’Etats, nous savons très bien que d’ici quelques années les fonds en euros vont avoir des taux proches de 2.50%. Instit Invest: Quelles sont les solutions de remplacement que vous envisagez? Aduléo: Aujourd’hui, avec le niveau des taux, c’est impossible d’avoir une garantie de capital. Pour proposer une alternative aux fonds en euros, nous envisageons de proposer des fonds flexibles. Nous resterons sur des choses simples et basiques et non pas des fonds à formules. Ou alors sur des échéances lointaines, sur 8 ans par exemple. Instit Invest: Comment sélectionnez-vous les fonds éligibles de votre contrat ? Aduléo: Nous proposons en premier lieu les fonds que les clients recherchent. Ensuite, nous avons une sélection plus qualitative en fonction des encours. Depuis le début, vous remarquerez qu’il n’y a pas de fonds de gestion alternative et nous ne sommes pas mécontents sachant qu’en 2008, cela a été une catastrophe. En dehors des hedge funds, nous avons une sélection qui couvre à peu près tous les marchés et tous les secteurs. Instit Invest: Et pensez-vous renforcer la gamme de fonds de sociétés opérant de l'étranger ? Aduléo: Je pense qu’il faut avant tout répondre aux besoins de nos clients. En France, nous avons déjà une gamme très large de fonds. En tant qu’indépendant, je travaille sur des contrats où il y a 10 000 fonds et à peine 150 sont utilisés.