Le sentiment des analystes et investisseurs allemands a de nouveau fortement reculé en octobre, selon l’indice publié par l’institut ZEW. L’indice ZEW du sentiment économique ressort à -48,3 en octobre contre -43,3 en septembre (consensus Reuters -45,0). Selon l’institut ZEW, la faiblesse des statistiques de l'économie allemande a contribué au recul de l’indicateur. L’institut souligne que la crise budgétaire européenne pourrait pousser les consommateurs allemands et les entreprises à reporter leurs investissements et dépenses.
L’Espagne a adjugé 4,6 milliards d’euros de bons du Trésor à 12 et 18 mois mardi, soit un montant se situant dans le milieu de la fourchette prévue, à un rendement conforme à une précédente adjudication le mois dernier. Le Trésor a émis 3,6 milliards d’euros de bons à 12 mois au rendement moyen de 3,608%, contre 3,591% lors de la précédente adjudication le 20 septembre dernier. Ces obligations ont obtenu un taux de couverture de 2,3, contre 2,8 le mois dernier. L’Espagne a également adjugé un milliard d’euros de bons à 18 mois au rendement moyen de 3,801%, contre 3,807 en septembre, avec un taux de couverture de 4,3 après 2,7 en septembre.
Les ventes au détail en Chine ont progressé plus que prévu en septembre, bondissant de 17,7% après un gain de 17% en août. Les 21 économistes interrogés par Reuters tablaient sur une progression stable à 17% le mois dernier.
L’inflation en Grande-Bretagne a atteint son plus haut niveau depuis trois ans en septembre, selon les chiffres officiels publiés mardi. L’Office national des statistiques (ONS) a précisé que les prix à la consommation avaient augmenté de 0,6% d’un mois sur l’autre et de 5,2% sur un an, soit leur plus forte hausse depuis septembre 2008, après +4,5% en août.
L'écart de rendement entre l’OAT française et le Bund allemand à 10 ans a dépassé les 100 points de base mardi et touché un plus haut de 16 ans, le marché obligataire ayant réagi négativement au rapport annuel de l’agence de notation Moody’s sur la France qui a confirmé la note «Aaa» de la France avec perspective stable mais indique rester vigilante pour les trois mois à venir. L'écart de rendement entre l’OAT 10 ans et le Bund allemand 10 ans, référence de la zone euro, se situait en fin de matinée autour de 106 points de base (pdb), soit 1,06 point de pourcentage. Le taux français se tendait de 1 pdb à 3,1% tandis que le taux allemand se détendait de 9,0 pdb à 2,01%. «C’est une réaction épidermique du marché. Le rapport de Moody’s est plutôt soft», estime Patrick Jacq, stratégiste taux chez BNP Paribas, cité par Reurers.
Les tensions liées à la crise de la dette euro devraient entraîner une érosion de la croissance dans les économies européennes émergentes, selon la Banque européenne pour la reconstruction et le développement (Berd). Elle a divisé par deux à 1,7% sa prévision de croissance 2012 en Europe centrale et dans les pays baltiques, la Hongrie et la Slovaquie étant les plus exposés à la zone euro. L’Europe du Sud et de l’Est devraient quant à elle avoir une croissance de 1,6% l’an prochain, en baisse de deux points de pourcentage par rapport à celle de juillet
BNP Paribas Real Estate Investment Services vient de structurer un véhicule d’investissement dédié à deux assureurs-vie français réunis en club deal. La levée de fonds de 220 millions d’euros a permis la signature de promesses d’acquisition portant sur deux projets de bureaux développés en Ile-de-France par la filiale de promotion du groupe. Jones Day a conseillé le montage sur les aspects juridiques et fiscaux.
A survey by the Edhec-Risk Institute of 104 European institutional investors has found that 68% of professionals are critical of equity indices which are cap-weighted, and 53% are critical of debt-weighted bond indices. However, despite their faults, these products remain a yardstick for investors and asset managers.When asked about the frequent confusion between indexing and passive management, 58% of specialists say that indices should not simply reflect passive strategies, but 75.2% are also of the opinion that indices should not be based on alpha.Sub-segment indices are relatively unimportant to investors in equities, but are highly important for those who use bond indices.Investors in equities are mostly irritated by the fact that standard cap-weighted indices give a disproportionate weight to overpriced shares, and do not offer sufficient diversification. For their part, users of bond indices pay more attention to reliable exposure to duration than to liquidity questions.Lastly, the adoption of alternative weighting models is perceived in a more positive light by investors who use equities indices (45.2%) than in the bond sphere (17.6% of respondents for indices of govies and 12.5% for corporate bond indices).
The amLeague company announced on Monday, 17 October that it has formed a partnership with the index provider Stoxx Limited. From 1 January 2012, the European equities indices Euro Stoxx 50, Stoxx Europe 50 and Stoxx Europe 600 will be used exclusively for European mandates. The agreement will also allow international mandates established in the future (see Newsmangers of 11 July 2011) to also have a bechmark index developed by Stoxx. The investment universe and performance comparisons will be based on a coherent and homogeneous family of indices in terms of their methodology and periodical revision of their perimeters, a statement says.
The German asset management firm Credit Suisse Asset Management Immobilien KAG has announced that its open-ended real estate fund CS Euroreal has sold three properties for an undisclosed total price higher than the most recent expert valuations.Since redemptions were suspended in May 2010, the CS Euroreal fund has sold 11 properties (all above market value) for EUR880m. That brings liquidity available for potential redemptions as of 5 October to EUR1.29bn, or 21% of assets. Gross liquidity totals EUR1.65bn, or 26.9% of assets managed.The past three sales have included a commercial/residential property in Leipzig, a commercial property located in Dresden, and an office property in London.The buyer of the two German properties is RREEF (Deutsche Bank), which will add the Leipzig property to tis open-ended fund grundbesitz europa, and the Dresden property to an institutional real estate fund.The London property, St Katherine’s Estate (18,000 square metres) has been sold to the Employees Provident Fund of Malaysia.
The 241 largest US hedge funds (with USD1bn or more in assets under management) grew by USD102bn in first half, bringing assets to USD1.399trn, according to the most recent semiannual “Billion Dollar Club” study by AR. Despite mediocre results for many managers in the sector, several major funds were launched in first half, including a USD5bn fund, and young firms are showing strong growth, the study finds. The number of firms counted in 2010 was 225, with total assets of USD1.297trn.
No major European bank is sufficiently transparent about its employees’ pay scales, which need to be disclosed in fuller detail, the European Banking Authority (EBA) claims. “Disclosure of pay policies and practices observed could be considerably improved for the majority of banks in our sample,” the EBA stated in a report on bank transparency on 17 October. According to the report, one quarter of the banks in the sample provide “insufficient” information about their pay practices, while half of them could improve their communications in this area. The organisation also recommends giving more emphasis to the ties between practices and risks. It also considers that disclosure of credit counterparty risks and risks related to interest rates need to be improved. The report is available at the following address: http://www.eba.europa.eu/News--Communications/Year/2011/EBA-publishes-f…
The US group Franklin Templeton is planning to launch a real estate fund dedicated to emerging markets or to the Asia-Pacific region, Asian Investor reports. Franklin already offers two real estate funds, one of which is international in scope, while the other is focused on the United States. Assets in the two vehicles total about USD1bn, of which 70% are in the international fund.
The Parisian office of the Australian asset management group First State Investments, which will open soon, will be composed of two people, according to information obtained by Newsmanagers.The two staff will be Eva von Sydow, sales director - Europe, who has been working with the asset management firm for nine years. She will cover the French and Swedish markets (she is Swedish). The second is Philippe Taillardat, formerly of Amundi, who has recently joined First State to co-direct the asset management team for infrastructure investments in Europe.First State, which belongs to Colonial First State Global Asset Management, the largest fund management firm in Australia (with GBP99.2bn in assets as of 30 June), is already present in London and Edinburgh, but not yet in continental Europe, an area where it has ambitions to develop. The firm manages Asian and emerging markets equity, global resources, global equities, publicly traded real estate and infrastructure funds.
The former head of the British retail division of Gartmore, Richard Pursglove, has joined Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM), as head of third-party distribution activities. Pursglove will head up a team of nine people with the objective of promoting equity, fixed income and money market strategies to discretionary managers and funds of funds.
John Burns, who had been COO at Visor Capital in Almaty, Kazakhstan, after working at Fidelity and Schroders, has been appointed as chief operating officer (COO) at Barings Asset Management, Money Marketing reports.Burns replaces John Misselbroook, who will be retiring at the end of 2011, and will remain until that time to ensure a smooth transition.
The British asset management firm Neptune is planning to launch a glboal long/short fund in the near future, the firm announced on 17 October, confirming reports in Money Marketing. Though it confirms the reports, the asset management firm did not wish to give further details about the new vehicle. “We are not in a position to comment further or to confirm other details at this stage,” Neptune added in a note. According to Money Marketing, the fund may be managed by Robin Geffen.
Isam, the hedge fund founded by the former head of Man Group, Stanley Fink, is planning to increase its assets under management by a factor of at least seven in the short term, by moving into the Middle Eastern sovereign fund and institutional markets, the Reuters news agency reports. The firm, with total assets under management of slightly over USD700m, is currently in talks with sovereign funds, pension funds and high net worth clients in the region, Fink tells Reuters.
On 16 August, DWS Investments launched the Luxembourg fund DWS Invest China Bonds, which invests in bonds denominated in Chinese yuan on the offshore market for renminbi debt in Hong Kong, which currently has a total volume of EUR23bn, or CNY200bn.With this new product, which follows similar products from the likes of AllianceBernstein and ETFs from Van Eck and Invesco, the Deutsche Bank affiliate is offering an actively-managed product with a portfolio of up to 50 positions (bonds with a good ratings and mid-term maturity), which will be managed by Philip Meier and the emerging markets team. The fund is also a bet on the appreciation of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar, and also has shares which are hedged for euro/dollar currency risks.Meier will be assisted by specialists from the Chinese asset management firm Harvest, in which DWS holds a 30% stake.CharacteristicsName: DWS Invest China BondsISIN codes:LCH share class in euros: LU0632805262FCH share class in euros (minimal investment EUR0.4m): LU06322808951A2 share class in US dollars: LU0616856422E2 share class in US dollars (minimal investment EUR0.4m): LU0616856778Front-end feeLCH and A share classes: 3%FCH and E2 share classes: 0%Management commission:LCH and A2 share classes: 1.10%FCH and E2 share classes: 0.60%Depository bank: State Street Bank Luxembourg SA
The central asset management firm for the German co-operative banks, Union Investment, will soon be extending its range of guaranteed funds (90 products, EUR16.4bn in assets as of the end of August), with the addition of the UniGarantPlus: Erneuerbare Energien (2018), which will be launched on 14 December 2011, and for which subscriptions have been open since 17 October and will remain open until 9 December.The new fund, denominated in euros, will focus on equities in the renewable energies sector (wind, solar, geothermal, biocarbons, ethanol, etc).CharacteristicsName: UniGarantPlus: Erneuerbare Energien (2018)ISIN code: LU0661713296Maturity: 21 September 2018Guarantee: EUR104 per share at maturityFront-end fee: 4%Management commission: 1% (maximum 1.5%)Premature withdrawal fee: 2% (paid to the fund)Depository banking commission (DZ Privat Bank SA, Luxembourg): 0.05% (maximum)
Most of the pension liabilities of BHF-Bank were outsourced in early October to the BHF Pension Trust e.V. pension fund. The migration involved a volume of about EUR120m. The portfolio will be managed by Frankfurt Trust, the asset management firm of the BHF group.Deutsche Bank is currently in talks with the private equity investor RHJ over a sale of BHF-Bank, which was inherited by Deutsche Bank along with the private bank Sal. Oppenheim, which it took over in late October 2009.
Emerging markets equities funds have seen another week of redemptions, according to the most recent estimates from EPFR Global. Since the beginning of the year, net outflows from these funds have totalled USD40.5bn.However, equities markets appear to be in a slightly less pessimistic phase than in the past few weeks. “Some balance seems to be developing between optimists and pessimists. And if you look at flows to ETFs, which are most immediately sensitive to changes in investors’ moods, optimists appear to be gaining the upper hand,” says the managing director of EPFR Global, Brad Durham.Outflows from equity funds as a whole nonetheless totalled USD1.37bn in the second week of October.
A quarterly survey by Financial Times Deutschland of the major asset management firms has found that a majority of strategists are doubtful of the effectiveness of the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF). For example, Kurt Schappelwein (Raiffeisen Capital Management) claims that the EFSF does not solve any of the fundamental problems, while Stefan Rondorf (Allianz GI) says that it lacks the dissuasive capacity that would allow it to intervene on the necessary scale in the Italian or Spanish bond markets.For fourth quarter, strategists recommend a positioning on defensive shares such as equities in the health and food sectors. On the other hand, banking sector shares which appear to be directly affected by the debt crisis in peripheral European countries figure at the bottom of the list of recommendations.