State Street Global Markets has announced that its institutional investor confidence index in October fell to 108.4, from 118.4 in September, with the heaviest decline - 12.8 points, to 101.1 - for the North American regional index. In Europe, the index is down 9.3 points, to 101.8, while the Asian index has risen to 95.3 from 92.9. A level of 100 represents neutral confidence, the point at which institutional investors neither increase nor decrease their allocations to high-risk assets. October is the seventh consecutive month in which the index has remained below the 100 mark overall. Ken Froot, the Harvard professor who developed the index with State Street Associates, says that although quarterly results have been relatively robust thus far, “the number of pleasant surprises in employment figures, retail sales, manufacturing output and commerce were fewer and further between, and this may have had an impact on investors’ appetite” for risk.
The founder of Pimco, Bill gross, estimates that the market rally observed in the past six months has reached its peak, and that the Fed will need to maintain its interest rates for another 18 months. In his most recent column, published on the Pimco website (November 2009), Gross explains that in the post-crisis environment, nearly all assets appear to be overvalued for the long term, which has the consequence that monetary and economic policy chiefs will need to maintain interest rates at artificially low levels, and rely on aid measures to sustain growth. From his point of view, the Fed may wait for up to 18 months before raising interest rates. “My feeling is that the nominal GDP will need to show tangible signs of stabilisation at about 4% for the Fed to decide to take the risk of raising interest rates,” Gross writes. Meanwhile, an investor in US Treasury bonds should not expect miracles: 0.15% on Treasury bonsd, less than 1% on two-year notes, and a meagre 3.4% on 10-year paper. And the entire US bond market, including corporate bonds, is bringing in returns of only about 3.5%. Investors should not expect much more, and risks related to high yield, distressed or equities far outstrip the positive prospects at this point in the conjunctural cycle.
Pension funds in OECD countries lost USD5.4trn last year. They also posted averaage negative performance of 21.4% in nominal terms, and 24.1% in real terms, the OECD reports in its most recent bulletin on pension funds (Pension Markets in Focus, October, Issue 6). However, in the first half of 2009, pension funds, which earned average returns of 3.5%, recuperated more than USD1.5trn. As of 30 June 2009, pension funds only needed to make up 14% in order to catch up with thelr levels as of December 2007. The rebound in the performance of pension funds continued until 30 September this year, thanks to rallying markets, but they will need more time before the sector completely offsets its losses, the OECD estimates. The best-performing pension funds in the OECD countries were in Norway and Turkey, with returns of over 10%. Meanwhile, US pension funds earned average returns of 4% in nominal terms, while Australian funds gained only 1%. Funds in these two countries had the highest exposure to equities, at 46% for the US, and 59% for Australia.
BlackRock estimates that institutional investors will once again take an interest in alternative assets. Some alternative asset classes seem to be very attractively priced at present. New private equity funds will also invest at very attractive valuation levels, at the bottom of the economic cycle, and they won’t need to rely on leverage to generate returns. Distressed businesses may also present opportunities. Pension funds may also turn to alternative investments as a key component of their allocation. According to a BlackRock study, a 25% allocation for an international equities portfolio in a basket of alternative assets would have reduced volatility from18% to 16% per year in the period from January 1990 to December 2008, while also increasing annual returns by 0.6%.
Six family offices (including Taresta Family Office, BNPP Fortis, and Family Office Auris 4) have joined forces to create the wealth management firm Mazabi Gestión de Patrimonios, which will start out with more than EUR300m in assets, Funds People reports. Mazabi states that it employs 13 management and advisory professionals, all of whom have at least 15 months of experience, and four main offices (Madrid, Barcelona, Bilbao, and Malaga). The president of Mazabi is Vicente Gómez de la Cruz (Taresta), and the CEO is Juan Antonio Guttiérez, (Fortis).
Insurer AFA Försäkrings, whose assets total about NOK200bn, has announced the recruitment of Johan Held as chief investment officer. For the past 18 months (since May 2008), Held has been the CIO of the pension fund Andra AP-fonden (AP2). Previously, he was CFO for KP Pensions&Försäring, and worked for SEB Investment Management, as well as for the asset management arm of Nordea. He replaces Lars Öhrstedt, who will be retiring in the first half of 2010.
Asset management firm Renta 4 on Monday announced the launch of the Spanish RMBS Fund, which, as its name indicates, will invest in primarily Spanish Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS). The limit for foreign issues is set at 30% of the portfolio, Funds People reports. The average maturity for bonds will be 15 years, and the average duration for the fund will range from 5 to 8 years. The fund, which will offer monthly liquidity, will charge 2% management commission and a 20% performance commission, with a minimal subscription of EUR50,000, the legal minimum for products of this type.
According to a report published on Tuesday by The Pensions Regulator (TPR), on the basis of responses form 97 defined contribution (DC) pension funds, 98% of respondents offer an open market option (OMO), but only 23% of members make use of it. However, 57% of funds need to improve the information they make available to members about the pensions they offer. Most importantly, 30% of funds are in infraction of their disclosure requirements and fail to respect information disclosure regulations in force. However, 6% of the remaining cases have been referred to control teams in order to ensure that “substantial modifications” which are necessary on retirement and process documentation are put into place. The TPR will now send a letter to approximately 4,500 pension funds to explain these findings to them, and to incite trustees to closely examine “pre-retirement” literature which is distributed to members.
Deutsche Börse announced on Tuesday that it has admitted eleven new Luxembourg-registered bond ETF funds from ComStage (see yesterday’s edition of Newsmanagers) to trading. The products bring the total number of tracker funds listed on the XTF segment of the Xetra electronic platform from Deutsche Börse to 518. Average monthly trading volume for products of this type comes to EUR12bn.
The most recent survey by the Berlin-based agency Metronomics of Europeanclients of asset management firms has found that BlackRock and Carmignac Gestion are the two operators whom a majority of respondents feel have the best prospects of “very strong comparative growth.” The two management firms finish ahead of JP Morgan Asset Management, Fidelity, DWS, and Schroders, whom a majority of respondents predict will experience “strong growth,” while Pictet Funds is considered likely to grow by “many” clients. For the French market taken in isolation, Carmignac Gestion is the only firm to have “very strong” outlooks for growth according to a majority of clients. It is followed by LCF Rothschild, which clients expect to see “strong” growth, and Fidelity, which will experience “good” growth.
In reaction to the acquisition of Barclays Global Investors by BlackRock, Vanguard UK is seeking to accelerate its development in the UK defined-contribution retirement market, the Financial Times reports. Peter Robertson, retail director at Vanguard UK, says several pension institutions have expressed an interest in the management firm’s range of products and services.
Citywire reports that Jupiter has been authorised to launch two investment funds managed by the star manager Philip Gibbs in the next three months. The two funds will give Gibbs – the only manager to have received a Citywire rating since the creation of the firm eight years ago - the necessary flexibility to manage as he prefers. In detail, the Jupiter “Absolute Return” fund, which complies with the UCITS III directive, will provide the manager with the ability to hold liquidity and to invest in instruments which may include derivatives, in order to maintain the necessary flexibility to react rapidly to changing market conditions. The fund is benchmarked against the Libor 3 month, and will be managed in a manner similar to that of Gibbs’ hedge fund, Hyde Park, but with lower volatility and less leverage. The second fund, Jupiter Financials, is also compliant with UCITS III, and will invest in international financial sector equities. Unlike the Jupiter Financial Opportunities fund, it will allow the manager to adopt short positions on shares or indexes. It will be benchmarked against the Footsie Global Financials index.
The Committee of European securities regulators (CESR) on 27 October announced the launch of a public consultation on the use of a standardized reporting format for financial information. The consultation provides an occasion for the CESR to gather feedback from market actors on the use of XBRL markup language, already used by international and European regulatory bodies such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United States, the CEBS (Committee of European banking supervisors), and the French Commission Bancaire-Banque de France. The CESR states that the consultation will concentrate on the potential introduction of an IFRS reporting format in the mid- to long term. The consultation will be open until 30 November.
Turquoise, the pan-European equity trading services company, announced that it will extend its services to include six Exchange Traded Commodities (ETCs) to trade via its MTF platform. The series of six new ETCs, tracking the performance of physical gold and silver, as well as gold bullion indices, will be available to Turquoise members from 13 November, 2009.
With State Street Wealth Connect, unveiled on Tuesday, State Street Corporation is offering its wealth management clients a tool which will allow them to “focus on management and growth rather than on bank and middle office functions,” says Steve Nazarro, senior vice president of the wealth management service activities at State Street. Currently, the group provides custody and administration for more than 500 clients in this high net worth private client segment. In practice, State Street Wealth Connect allows direct access to State Street through a customizable online platform which is completely integrated into the range of State Street investment services, including global custody, accounting and monitoring of policy at businesses, and also with the document and delivery and messaging system, which will allow wealth managers to communicate directly with their clients through this secure portal.
On Tuesday night, Commerzbank announced that it will be selling its 74% stake in the Austrian firm Privatinvest Bank of Salzburg for an undisclosed amount to the Cantonal Bank of Zurich (ZKB in German). The transaction is part of a move at Commerzbank to concentrate on a more limited number of locations for its wealth management activities. The sale of the stake is also a realization of a pledge made by Commerzbank in order to be granted permission by the European Union to receive German government assistance as part of the financial markets stabilisation (SoFFin) program. At the end of June, the Privatinvest Bank, which has 50 employees in Salzburg and Vienna, had assets of EUR600m. The activities of the Vienna branch of Commerzbank are not affected by the announced deal.
According to the EIRIS 2009 Climate Change Tracker, US and Canadian companies are catching up on climate change, but they must do much more if they are to manage their carbon risks and play an active part in the transition to a low-carbon economy. The vast majority of North American companies operating in sectors with a high carbon footprint now have a corporate-wide policy on climate change (91% compared to 93% at the global level).However, when it comes to implementing, concrete measures to deliver on corporate climate change policies and commitments, businesses in North American still fall behind companies in other countries, with rising CO2 emissions, poor disclosure and a lack of implementation. For instance, only 16% of North American companies have made a commitment to link board remuneration to GHG emissions reductions compared to 28% at the global level. And product impacts ignored: only 9% have set targets to reduce indirect climate change impacts arising from their products, compared to 19% at the global level.
The Buffalo Small Cap fund with USD2.44bn in AUM, a product whose advisor is Kroznitzer Capital Management, has got «a bit more soft-closed» on October 5th, in accepting no new investors while it still welcomes subscription fron existing savers and from retirement plans, according to Mutual Fund Wire. A first soft-close had been put in place on May 27th by closing the fund to new subscriptions through 1-800 numbers and the main fund platforms (Schwab, Fidelity, TDAmeritrade, Pershing).
Michael Reed has joined Fidelity International as head of its activities in South Korea, according to Asian Investor. Reed previously served three years as country head for South Korea at Franklin Templeton.
Franklin Resources announced net income of USD367.4m, or USD1.60 per share diluted, on revenues of USD1,238.9m for the quarter ended September 30, 2009. For the quarter ended June 30, 2009, net income was USD297.7m, or USD1.29 per share diluted, on revenues of USD1,073.6m. For the quarter ended September 30, 2008, net income was USD300.5m, or $1.28 per share diluted, on revenues of USD1,321.5m.Total assets under management by the company’s subsidiaries were USD523.4bn at September 30, 2009, as compared to USD451.2bn at June 30, 2009 and USD507.3bn at September 30, 2008. Net new flows for the quarter ended September 30, 2009 were USD12.2bn, as compared to USD6.0bn for the prior quarter and net redemptions of USD8.6bn for the same quarter a year ago.
Guy de Blonay, the manager of the Henderson New Star Global Financials fund at Henderson New Star, is to join Jupiter, eight years after having left the company, Citywire reports. He will be co-managing the Jupiter Financial Opportunities fund with Phillip Gibbs, but in a first stage will be restricted to an advisory role.Guy de Blonay’s fund at Henderson New Star is now managed by Emily Adderson, who acted up to now as deputy manager.
Private equity firm Blackstone Group LP has begun talks with lenders to cut up to USD5bn from the USD20bn debt load carried by Hilton Worldwide, according to people familiar with the matter, the Wall Street Journal reports.Blackstone is considering contributing USD800m of new equity to buy back debt at a discount. It also is seeking to extend debt maturing in 2013 to 2016, while converting some junior slices of debt into equity. The USD800 million in additional equity would come from funds managed by Blackstone that already have invested in the deal, the biggest equity investment ever made by the firm.Initially, Blackstone funds and co-investors put up USD5.6bn in equity in the deal, while assuming USD20bn in debt.
Citywire reports that the management firm Fidelity has closed its FAST Europe fund to new investments, due to the volume of assets in the fund (USD2.5bn). The decision was taken in order to prevent deposits from new investors from having a negative impact on the fund’s strategy. The fund, managed by Anas Chakra, uses derivative products and leverage to improve performance. In the past three years, FAST Europe has posted gains of 7.2%, compared with losses of 21.1% for the MSCI Europe index.
According to reports in Die Welt, it will be announced on Wednesday afternoon that Detusche Bank will acquire all shares in the Luxembourg holding company of Sal. Oppenheim for about EUR1bn. Sal. Oppenheim will retain only slightly over 75% of a shareholder-governed (KGaA) company which oversees operational activities, while slightly less than 25% would remain in the hands of the current owners. This arrangement is the most tax-effective for all parties. Die Welt states that the former owners will earn bonuses in proportion to the number of clients who choose to remain loyal to the firm.
On Wednesday, the supervisory board at Deutsche Bank is expected to approve the acquisition of the wealth management operations of Sal. Oppenheim. It is expected that the investment banking activities, in which Deutsche Bank is not interested, will be acquired by Macquarie, while LGT is a candidate to take over BHF, which is well-positioned in private banking and asset management, Handelsblatt reports. BHF also has a sizeable custody activity, which may potentially interest BNP Paribas, as well as BNY Mellon.
D’après EPFR Global, les fonds d’actions spécialistes des marchés émergents affichaient fin septembre un montant record de souscriptions nettes de 52,6 milliards de dollars depuis le début de l’année, ce qui est voisin du record de 54,3 milliards enregistré pour l’ensemble de 2007. Sur la base des chiffres hebdomadaires communiqués depuis début octobre (5,5 milliards), ce record de 2007 est probablement déjà battu. Et cela compense les remboursements nets de 49,5 milliards de dollars subis pour l’ensemble de 2008.Par comparaison, les fonds d’actions américaines ont accusé de sorties nettes de 71 milliards de dollars durant les neuf premiers mois de l’année.Quant aux fonds obligataires pays émergents, ils ont bénéficié de 3,2 milliards de dollars de souscriptions nettes pour janvier-septembre, avec des flux hebdomadaires de 83 millions au deuxième trimestre, de 280 millions au troisième trimestre et de 780 millions pour chacune des deux premières semaines d’octobre.
Selon l’Echo, Citibank a fait le choix d’un procès dans l’affaire de la vente de produits Lehman Brothers plutôt que d’opter pour un arrangement à l’amiable. Le week-end dernier, le parquet de Bruxelles avait requis que la banque rembourse entièrement ses clients dupés, précise le quotidien, soit 4 000 clients (pour 128 millions d’euros).Le procès commencera le 1er décembre prochain.
A compter du début 2010, le gestionnaire danois BankInvest centralisera sa distribution internationale au Luxembourg, ce qui entraînera la fermeture de la succursale bavaroise de Straßlach/Kleindingharting qui couvre l’Allemagne, la Suisse et l’Autriche, rapporte fondsprofessionell. Le sales & relationship manager de cette antenne allemande, Joachim Böttcher, poursuivra ses activités à partir du Grand-Duché.