Cheyne Capital Management (UK) LLP vient d’annoncer la nomination de Jorge Giampaoli en tant qu’associé et gérant du nouveau fonds Cheyne Equity Macro Fund.Jorge Giampaoli vient de chez Morgan Stanley où il est resté huit ans et où il était responsable du trading pour compte propre sur les actions européennes avant de rejoindre Cheyne Capital.

L’industrie de la gestion d’actifs va être le théâtre en 2009 d’une polarisation accrue : les firmes les plus importantes vont prendre encore plus de poids alors que les sociétés les plus modestes vont poursuivre leur déclin. Dans son enquête annuelle sur la gestion d’actifs britannique, le consultant indépendant Hymans Robertson prévoit une inversion de la tendance à la hausse des effectifs observée au cours des trois dernières années, avec le début d’une vague de suppressions d’emplois dans le front office. Hymans Robertson indique par ailleurs qu’il reste «bullish» sur la gestion active, soulignant au passage que de nombreux gérants actifs ont dégagé de très bons rendements relatifs l’an dernier.

Selon les proches du dossier, Christopher Hohn est actuellement en discussions avec les investisseurs du hedge fund The Children’s Investment Fund Management (TCI, 8 milliards de dollars d’encours) pour leur proposer des modalités plus intéressantes, voire de débloquer une partie de leur argent. Initialement, il avait réussi à imposer des lock-ups de 3 ou 5 ans. Il est question de créer une nouvelle classe de parts avec lock-up de seulement 6 mois et liquidité trimestrielle. Chris Hohn envisage aussi de faire payer les commissions de performance pour une période de plusieurs années au lieu d’année par année. Sur les cinq premiers mois de l’année, le fonds TCI a perdu 7 %.

The alternative management firm Altira Group has announced that in recent weeks, it has concluded a number of cooperation agreements with traditional open-ended management firms. Since 2 June, its affiliate VCH has been advising the SRI fund ÖkoSelect from Hansainvest (an affiliate of the insurer Signal-Iduna), a product specialised in renewable energy. Meanwhile, the Altira affiliate Patriarch Multi-Manager, which focuses on funds of funds for use as savings, has launched a new equities fund of funds, in partnership with the institutional management division of Berenberg Bank and the management firm DJE Kapital. The product is administered by DJE, and 10% of its assets are allocated to Berenberg Bank for active risk management. The risk is managed by Patriarch Multi-Manager, which is cooperating for the first time in the management of a product aimed at retail clients.

According to the most recent survey from Cerulli Associates (Quantitative Update: Global Markets 2009), global assets in asset management had fallen as of the end of December to USD43.2trn, from USD53trn one year earlier. This level is nonetheless higher than the USD42.4trn under management at the end of 2005. Cerulli observes that the asset management sector took nearly three years to build up USD10trn in new assets, but it needed less than six months to lose this much volume. And it will probably need another five years to gain the volume back: projections predict a further decrease of USD600bn this year, followed by growth beginning in 2010 (USD44.4trn), up to a volume of USD56.5trn in 2013. This supposes an average annual growth rate of about 5.5%. Plummeting asset levels have dragged down revenues for asset management firms, which fell last year by 6.8% to USD155.7bn, but an even more devastating effect is to be expected due to the fact that investors are turning to products which are less risky and thus less costly than equities funds. FTfm reports that the percentage of assets invested in equities fell last year to 40.7% of total assets, from 52.9% the previous year.

In an article on the Fund Forum in Monaco and the new questions which asset management firms are said to be facing about their business models, Handelsblatt reports that Benjamin Phillips, a partner at Casey Quirk & Associates, predicts that the winning asset management firms in the future will be those that focus on retirement planning products and products aimed at high net worth clients. Amin Rajan, head of the research agency Create, says institutional investors are now seeking to invest in global equities portfolios, tracker funds and emerging markets products, commodities, and private equity. Retail investors, for their part, are primarily interested in protected-capital products and performance. These requirements overall are very far from what managers are offering.

According to sources familiar with the matter, Christopher Hohn is now in takls with investors in the hedge fund The Children’s Investment Fund Management (TCI, USD8bn in assets), and is reportedly offering them more attractive terms, or to unfreeze some of their assets. He had managed to impose lock-ups of 3 or 5 years. Now, the fund may create a new class of shares with a lack-up of only 6 months and quarterly liquidity. Hohn is also considering charging performance commissions on the basis of performance over a period of several years, instead of on yearly performance. In the first five months of the year, the TCI fund lost 7%.

The asset management industry will be a site of increased polarisation in 2009, as the largest companies will lose weight, and the smaller firms will continue to decline. In its annual study of the British asset management industry, the independent consultant Hymans Robertson predicts that the trend of rising staff numbers observed in the past three years will be reversed, and a wave of layoffs will affect the front office. Hymans Robertson also says it remains bullish on active management, adding that many active managers have earned very good returns compared with last year.

La Tribune reports that as the Saudi conglomerate Saad restructures its debt and the assets of its chairman, the billionaire Maan al-Sanea, have been frozen, a dozen banks which arranged USD6.3bn in syndicated loans to the group are at risk of losing their money. Among the banks are Citigroup, BNP Paribas, HSBC, Standard Chartered and JP Morgan.

After Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and UBS, Citigroup has become the next US bank to compensate for cuts in annual bonuses by increasing fixed salaries, La Tribune reports. According to the New York Times, cited by La Tribune, pay raises are as much as 50% in essential areas such as investment banking and trading. The goal is to prevent talent from leaving the bank. In Europe, moderation prevails in terms of pay scales, and talented personnel leaving their jobs is not a major issue.

On the basis of its degree of capitalisation as measured by Tier 1 owners’ equity ratio, JP Morgan ranks as the most solid bank in the world, as rated by the Banker, and reported in La Tribune. JP Morgan is followed by Bank of America, Citigroup, RBS and HSBC.

La Tribune reports that the SEC, the US regulatory authority, is considering toughening the rules for money market funds. The regulator may forbid the purchase of illiquid assets and the imposition of a 5% limit on their exposure to cash and highly liquid assets. The average maturity date for debt in the portfolio may be reduced from 90 to 60 days. In addition, regular stress testing and monthly reporting may be instituted.

At the conclusion of a 60-day comment period, the SEC is planning to require money market funds to maintain higher levels of liquidity and to hold assets which are both highly liquid and of the best possible credit rating in order to ensure that they are able to reimburse investors rapidly, the Wall Street Journal reports. One of the points that worries professionals is a proposed rule that funds which sell shares to institutional investors need to have more available liquidity than those whose subscribers are retail investors: specialists say that it is very difficult to draw a clear distinction between the two classes of subscribers.

Cheyne Capital Management (UK) LLP has announced the appointment of Jorge Giampaoli as a partner and manager of the new fund Cheyne Equity Macro Fund. Giampaoli joins from Morgan Stanley, where he worked for eight years and served as head of trading as principal for European equities before joining Cheyne Capital.

Citigroup has restricted negotiations for a sale of its Japanese asset management affiliate, Nikko Asset Management, to three potential buyers, the Wall Street Journal reports. The firm is the third-largest Japanese asset management firm, and its sale is expected to bring in more than USD1bn for the bank. The contenders still in the running are T&D Holdings, Sumotomo Trust & Banking and Bank of New York Mellon, and sources familiar with the matter say that bids are already higher than the vendor had initially expected.

Le Temps reoprts that the former head of the products division at Julius Baer is founding his own management firm aimed at institutional investors, entitled Dynapartners, to profit from the changes now taking place in asset management. “A consolidation movement will take place in the next few years,” says Ben Wittmann, cited by Le Temps. Switzerland is home to 2,600 small asset management firms, which manage an average of CHF300m with an average of five employees. Dynapartners is planning to grow organically and through acquisitions, and aims to manage CHF5bn to CHF7bn with 25 employees in five years’ time.

On Thursday morning, UBS announced that Chi-Won Yoon will be taking over as Chairman & CEO Asia Pacific and as a member of the board of directors, effective immediately. He replaces Rory Tapner, who is leaving the group after 25 years. Chi-Won Yoon will retain his responsibilities as head of securities for the UBS investment bank in the Asia Pacific region (APAC) and as country head and CEO for the Hong Kong branch. UBS employs 9,500 people in the APAC region, in investment banking, wealth management, and asset management.

Deka Immobilien Investment has spent EUR28.1m of its dedicated fund Deka-S-Property Fund N°1 to acquire a 15,000 square-metre office property on the viale Jenner in Milan. The vendor is the real estate fund management firm BNP Paribas REIM SGR. The property is wholly leased to the mobile telephone operator Telecom Italia Mobile (TIM).

Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), the manager of the government pension fund, has launched a call for bids for mandates to manage developed and emerging market equities. The initial mandates will be for assets ranging from USD50m to USD250m. The affiliate of the Bank of Norway states on its website that all the mandates will be for publicly traded equities. Currently, NBIM is seeking managers for mandates to invest in Thailand, Greater China, South Korea, India, Russia, Turkey, Greece, Japanese small caps, Brazil, South Africa, equities indexes (Americas, Europe, and the Pacific), and sectoral mandates, both global and focused on the United States. Completed applications should be addressed to eqmandates@nbim.no.

Between the end of March and the present, assets under management in funds focused on eastern Europe and Russia at East Capital have increased considerably, due both to positive market effects and to continuing net subscriptions, much of which have come from Scandinavian retail clients, says Marcus Qvedberg, chief economist at the Swedish asset management firm. Currently, says Jean-Marie Laporte, director of the Paris office, the Eastern Europe fund now has roughly EUR350m in assets, compared with EUR272m at the end of March, while the firm’s emblematic fund, the Russia fund, must have more than EUR500m. Both funds have relatively well-diversified portfolios, with about 150 positions each, as East Capital, which is present in the markets it invests in, does not confine itself to the recommendations of sell-side analysts, but also invests in local midcaps. Svedberg also estimates that with a price/earnings ratio of 6.2, following a 65% increase (and a peak a few weeks ago up more than 80%), Russia continues to be attractively priced. In general, more correction is to be expected on the markets of eastern Europe this summer, and then a subsequent rebound in the long term, albeit less strong than in the past. East Capital favours healthy banks, consumer products, retail, and some utilities. The Swedish manager will also soon launch a Special Opportunities Fund with USD100m in assets, registered in the Cayman Islands. The product, which is not compliant with UCITS III, will invest largely in “extremely inexpensive” businesses, which are most often high-quality companies repossessed by banks in their infancy from over-indebted oligarchs, and then traded as “distressed” businesses.

«Par le passé, nous utilisions une approche géographique des pays de l’Est, auxquels nous avons adjoint la Turquie. Mais, à présent, nous avons adopté plutôt une analyse en fonction de la situation économique de chaque pays, étant entendu que, d’une manière générale, ces trente pays vont connaître cette année une baisse de PIB de l’ordre de 5 %... sauf peut-être l’Azerbaïdjan, dont la croissance tombera à 10-15 % contre 35 %. Pour 2010, il faut s’attendre globalement à une croissance de 1-2 %. Lorsque la reprise sera effectivement revenue, la région devrait pouvoir afficher des taux de croissance de 4-4,5 %, ce qui est plus sain et soutenable que les plus de 5 % de moyenne constatés pour la période 1999-2008», a déclaré mercredi à Paris Marcus Svedberg, chief economist d’East Capital.La nouvelle classification distingue entre trois catégories de pays, même si, pour l’instant, la différenciation est ténue. Pour Marcus Svedberg, il y a tout d’abord les pays à forts déséquilibres qui ne vont pas profiter d’une croissance des exportations et de la demande intérieure ou qui se débattent avec le FMI, comme les républiques baltes, l’Ukraine, les pays des Balkans occidentaux et d’Asie Centrale. Ils risquent une reprise en «L», donc une profonde et longue récession couplée ou non à des dévaluations.Dans un deuxième groupe, l'économiste en chef d’East Capital place les petits pays affligés d’une forte dépendance vis-à-vis de l'étranger et de la conjoncture mondiale, qui connaîtraient plustôt une reprise en «U». C’est le cas de pays comme la Sloavquie (où Volkswagen pèse 15 % du PIB), la Moldavie, l’Albanie, le Tadjikistan, le Kirgizhstan, voire même la République tchèque. Ces pays sont tributaires de la conjoncture en Europe occidentale et en Allemagne, mais aussi des investissements directs étrangers (IDE) et des transferts de leurs travailleurs immigrés (dont le retour risquerait au surplus de causer des problèmes supplémentaires de chômage).Enfin, Marcus Svedberg place dans la catégorie des pays qui pourraient connaître une croissance relativement rapide les économies les plus importantes de la région qui affichent peu de déséquilibres, voire sont à l'équilibre. C’est en particulier le cas de la Russie, de la Turquie et de la Pologne qui, avec la République tchèque, représentent 65 % du PIB des pays d’Europe orientale. Ces pays ont de marchés du travail très souples, ils ont les moyens de stimuler en interne la croissance, ils sont des banques saines, des déficits budgétaires et des opérations courantes peu importants ainsi que des marchés intérieurs de grande taille qui les rendent moins dépendants de l’exportation.

According to the first study of German data for the five-year period from May 2003-May 2008, for EUR50m in assets invested in 52 master funds and 430 sub-funds, German institutional investors are paying too much for management of their investments. The management firm Universal Investment and the Otto Beisheim School of Management determined that, although institutional investors prefer active management, managers provided them with portfolios with lower levels of risk, whose evolution was close to that of the Dax, EuroStoxx or Dow Jones indexes. Annual tracking error was 1.31, which is very low in international terms, and the trend has been steadily downward. Meanwhile, master funds in the period under review generated average returns of 6.58% per year, while the market indexes gained 6.87%. The authors of the study estimate that if institutionals had used ETFs or index-based mandates as the core of their portfolios, and genuinely active mandates as satellites, they could have saved as much as 25% of their management fees.

Selon le site internet de L’Echo, JPMorgan trône désormais en tête du palmarès des banques les plus solides du monde. C’est ce qui ressort du nouveau classement du Top 1 000 World Banks établi par le magazine «The Banker». Pourtant, ce classement ne fait pas oublier que les profits des banques ont chuté de 85 % l’an dernier. Le secteur a engrangé 115 milliards de dollars contre 781 milliards en 2007. Le rendement de leurs fonds propres a plongé, tombant à 2,69 % en 2008 contre 20 % en 2007, selon l’estimation réalisée par le magazine. Royal Bank of Scotland prend la «pole position» d’un autre classement: celui des établissements ayant subi les plus lourdes pertes. Avec 59,3 milliards de dollars de pertes en 2008, RBS éclipse Citigroup, qui en a enregistré pour 53 milliards de dollars, et Wells Fargo, troisième avec 47,8 milliards.

According to the website of the newspaper L’Echo, JPMorgan is now the most solid bank in the world, according to the new Top 1,000 World Banks rankings by the magazine “The Banker.” The rankings do not fail to take into account that banking profits fell by 85% last year. The sector earned USD115bn, compared with USD781bn in 2007. Returns on owners’ equity fell to 2.69% in 2008, from 20%, in 2007, according to estimates by the magazine. Royal Bank of Scotland takes pole position in another ranking: banks which have sustained the heaviest losses. With USD59.3bn lost in 2008, RBS eclipses Citigroup, which lost USD53bn, and Wells Fargo, in third place, with losses of USD47.8bn.

The Korean management firm Mirae Asset Global Investments, which is beginning to develop activities in France from its London offices, will soon be registering funds in France, in order to make them available to retail investors, Hendrik Cosijn von Ripperda, director of institutional distribution for Europe at Mirae, tells Newsmanagers at the Fund Forum International in Monaco. In the past few months, the Asian management firm has made some efforts in marketing to make itself better known to institutional investors in France. But now, the firm would like to approach the retail market via platforms. Its funds, which are largely focused on emerging markets, are expected to be registered this autumn.

Adepte de la gestion quantitative, Thaddée Tyl, président de Rivoli Finance, revient sur une gestion qui, en étant souvent meconnue, inspire méfiance et craintes des investisseurs. A tort selon lui, même si il reconnaît que l'expliquer exige du temps et de la pédagogie.

Dans un article consacré au Funds Forum de Monaco et à la remise en question à laquelle sont censés se livrer les gestionnaires d’actifs, le Handelsblatt rapporte que pour Benjamin Phillips, associé de Casey Quirk & Associates, les futurs gagnants seront ceux qui se focaliseront sur les produits de prévoyance vieillesse et ceux destinés aux particuliers haut de gamme.De son côté, Amin Rajan, qui dirige le bureau d'études Create, souligne que les investissements institutionnels recherchent actuellement des portefeuilles d’actions mondiales, des fonds indiciels et des produits marchés émergents, matières premières et private equity. De leur côté, les particuliers veulent surtout des produits à capital protégé et de la performance. Ces exigences sont globalement très éloignées de ce que proposent les gestionnaires.

Citigroup a restreint à trois le nombre des acquéreurs potentiels de sa filiale japonaise de gestion d’actifs, Nikko Asset Management, rapporte The Wall Street Journal. C’est le troisième gestionnaire d’actifs nippon et sa vente devrait faire entrer plus d’un milliard de dollars dans les caisses. Les candidats retenus sont T&D Holdings, Sumitomo Trust & Banking et Bank of New York Mellon, et les enchères, selon les proches du dossier, auraient déjà dépassé le montant prévu par le vendeur.

Selon L’Agefi suisse, le fonds d’investissements américain KKR a dévoilé mercredi des modifications aux modalités de son projet d’introduction à la Bourse de New York, prévoyant notamment une plus grande participation de sa filiale européenne KPE, cotée à la Bourse d’Amsterdam. KKR caresse depuis juillet 2008 l’idée de faire son entrée à la Bourse de New York, rappelle le quotidien. Mais le fonds, dont la valeur des actifs sous gestion a baissé à 47 milliards de dollars contre 53,2 milliards en 2007, a depuis repoussé l’opération à plusieurs reprises. KKR, qui prévoit une entrée en Bourse à New York via une absorption de KPE et un retrait de la filiale de la cote à Amsterdam, a fait une proposition plus alléchante pour les actionnaires de cette dernière.

Les grandes fortunes privilégient les actifs moins risqués, et les trois quarts d'entre elles ont perdu confiance dans leur gestionnaire