Mohamed El-Erian, directeur général et co-directeur des investissements de Pimco, prédit une nouvelle répartition des pouvoirs entre les secteurs privé et public, rapporte le Financial Times Fund Management. #Cela va affecter la formation des prix, les risques et la structure du capital#, commente-t-il. Deuxièmement, il entrevoit une #concentration massive dans le secteur financier, qui va avoir un impact dans tous les segments de l’industrie#. Enfin, le moteur unique de croissance qu’a été les Etats-Unis sera remplacé par plusieurs moteurs dans les marchés en voie de développement.
Lundi, l"Islande a nationalisé Straumur-Burdaras, la dernière des quatre plus grosses banques du pays qui restait indépendante, rapporte le Financial Times. Dans un communiqué, la banque explique que : «malgré notre position capitalistique solide et le soutien des banques qui nous financent, Straumur pense que ses liquidités ne sont plus suffisantes pour soutenir ses activités».
Selon l’Agefi, les obligations sécurisées pâtissent d’un effet d'éviction vis à vis des obligations garanties, mieux perçues par les investisseurs et cette tendance pourrait s’alourdir avec l’allongement de leur maturité maximale.
Barclays a été prévenue lundi que son bilan ferait l"objet d"un examen légal de la part du Trésor si elle décidait de transférer ses actifs toxiques au contribuable, rapporte le Financial Times. La banque étudie les conditions de l"accord passé par Lloyds pour garantir 260 milliards de livres d"actifs. Elle a jusqu"au 31 mars pour se décider.
Stefan Hepp, directeur général et fondateur de SCM Strategic Capital Management, indique au terme d’une étude sur 400 fonds que 92 % des maisons de private equity ne comptent au maximum que cinq associés. Dans 95 % des cas, précise le Handelsblatt, ces sociétés n’emploient pas plus de 30 professionnels de l’investissement. Parmi les fonds dont l’encours représente entre 5 milliards et 10 milliards d’euros, le nombre des associés se situe à 10 et celui des professionnels de l’investissement à 32.
Selon une étude d’International Financial Services, London (IFSL) l’encours des fonds souverains (SWF) s’est accru l’an dernier de 18 % pour atteindre 3,9 billions de dollars fin décembre. Les pertes encourues sur certains investissements, notamment les 60 milliards de dollars placés dans des banques américaines, suisses et britanniques, ayant été surcompensées par l’augmentation des réserves de change en Asie et la manne pétrolière pour les fonds arabes. Les fonds souverains alimentés par des exportations de matières premières affichaient fin 2008 des actifs de 2,5 billions de dollars tandis que les autres, généralement alimentés par des transferts de réserves officielles de change voire par des excédents budgétaires, arrivaient à 1,4 billion.Toujours d’après IFSL, l’encours des fonds souverains pourrait doubler à 8 billions de dollars pour 2015, dont 55 % (contre 35 % en 2008) pour les fonds de la seconde catégorie. En plus des fonds souverains, l’IFSL mentionne les 5,5 billions de dollars des autres véhicules d’investissement souverains, comme les fonds de réserve pour les retraites, les fonds de développement et les fonds des entreprises d’Etat.
A fin février, on comptait dans le monde 1.603 ETF avec des encours de 593,49 milliards de dollars émis par 85 fournisseurs et cotés 2.720 fois sur 42 Bourses, indique Deborah Fuhr, managing director, global head of ETF research and implementation strategy chez Barclays Global Investors (BGI). Depuis le début de l’année, les actifs sous gestion se sont ainsi contractés de 26,9 % alors que l’indice MSCI World n’a baissé que de 18,4 %, tandis que dans le même temps le nombre d’ETF augmentait de 0,8 % ou de 25 unités. Actuellement, 679 nouveaux ETF se trouvent préparation.En reprenant les données de Strategic Insight, BGI précise que, pour l’ensemble de 2008, les fonds autres que les ETF ont accusé des remboursements nets de 111,9 milliards de dollars tandis que les ETF enregistraient des souscriptions nettes de 268 milliards de dollars.
Pour le quatrième trimestre, les remboursements nets subis par le secteur des hedge funds a boni de 689 % pour atteindre 146,95 milliards de dollars, selon Lipper Tass. Pour l’ensemble de 2008, précise Hedge Week, les sorties nettes ont totalisé 158,91 milliards de dollars, ce qui représente 11,43 % de l’encours du début d’année, contre 0,86 % pour les trois premiers trimestres. Les rachats nets du quatrième trimestre, ajoutés à l’effet de marché, ont fait fondre l’encours total à 1,29 billion de dollars fin décembre contre 1,59 billion fin septembre.Les quatres stratégies les plus sinistrées par les sorties nettes ont été le long/short equity (42,52 milliards de dollars), les futures (23,95 milliards), l'événementiel (22,27 milliards) et le multi-stratégies (16,64 milliards).
Lundi encore, la Bourse de Milan a perdu davantage que tous les autres marchés d"Europe, commente Il Sole ? 24 Ore. Londres et Francfort ont récupéré 0,33 % et 0,7 %, tandis que Paris a limité la casse à -0,6 %. Et le marché italien a reculé de 2,12 %. Les bancaires ont particulièrement pesé sur les cours. Pour expliquer cette débâcle, les opérateurs évoquent de fortes ventes de l"étranger, des investisseurs baissiers, des hedge funds vendeurs, des compagnies d"assurances qui vident leurs portefeuilles? Quoi qu"il en soit, le début d"année, Piazza Affari a perdu 35,14 % contre -19,77 en moyenne pour les Bourses européennes, rappelle le quotidien italien.
Selon La Tribune, les 45 cabinets d’assurance coalisés par l’affaire Madoff seront reçus mercredi 11 mars par le congrès et la SEC. Lundi soir, les membres de cette coalition (Global Law Firm Alliance: Madoff Case) qui n’agit pas en nom collectif mais coordonne des actions, ont interpellé les membres du G20 pour que soit créée une «cour internationale des services financiers» avant de se rendre à Washington pour rencontrer régulateurs et législateurs. Six cabinets d’avocats français sont membres de ce regroupement, précise notamment La Tribune.
According to statistics from Lipper Feri, funds of hedge funds in Europe underwent net redemptions in the last four months of 2008 of EUR15bn, Funds People reports. In the same period, dynamic money market funds saw net outflows of EUR19bn.
Mohamed El-Erian, CEO and co-CIO at Pimco, predicts that the balance of power will be redrawn between the private and public sectors, Financial Times Fund Management reports. ?This will affect price formation, risks, and the structure of capital,? he says. Secondly, he foresees a ?massive concentration in the financial sector, which will have an impact on all segments of the industry.? Lastly, the global environment in which the United States was the solitary driver of global growth will be replaced by one in which several developing economies contribute to driving growth.
Santander Real Estate on Monday made the first payments to subscribers who requested redemptions of their shares in the Banif Inmobiliario real estate fund before 27 February. Cinco Días reports that, according to sources close to the management firm, the redemption payments totalled EUR160m.
Matthias, Count of Krakow, chairman of the board of directors at Sal. Oppenheim, on Monday told Handelsblatt that ?if and when a decision is taken about the sale of BHF-Bank, it will depend on the potential partner and the price.? Sal. Oppenheim bought BHF from ING in early 2005 for EUR600m, but since then it has made back most of the money it laid out. Selling the Frankfurt-based bank would not present any difficulties, since the firm has always operated independently. However, the price of EUR1.3bn being mentioned in financial circles would certainly not be attainable today.
In fourth quarter, net redemptions from the hedge fund sector rose 689% to USD146.95bn, Lipper Tass reports. According to Hedge Week, in 2008 overall, net outflows totalled USD158.91bn, which represents 11.43% of total assets as of the beginning of the year, compared with 0.86% in the first three quarters. Net redemptions in fourth quarter, adjusted for market effects, caused a decline in total assets of USD1.29trn as of the end of December, compared with USD1.59trn as of the end of September.The four strategies hit hardest by net outflows were long/short equity (USD42.52bn), futures (USD23.95bn), event-driven (USD22.27bn), and multi-strategies (USD16.64bn).
The management firm ETFlab Investment GmbH, an affiliate of DekaBank (German savings banks) specialised in ETFs (EUR2bn in assets in 16 funds), on Monday announced the launch of six new German-registered bond products, the ETFlab iBoxx ? Liquid Sovereign Diversified 1-10, 1-3, 3-5, 5-7, 7-10 et 10+. The ETFs are backed by Euro zone government bonds, says the CEO of ETFlab, Andreas Fehrenbach. The underlying indices, with varying maturities, contain 25 bonds each, with a maximum of 4 issues per country. Management commission is set at 0.15%.
Hedge Week reports that Alpstar, a specialist in credit funds, has announced the creation of a strategic team specialised in restructuring and the recuperation of assets in distressed debt cases. The group has been created to respond to demand from pension funds who were seeking assistance with issues of this kind.
The Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) on Thursday announced that its prohibition of short-selling financial sector stocks has been extended again, until 31 May. On 21 January, the Australian regulator had already extended the prohibition, which came into force on 13 November, until 6 March.
BlackRock has obtained a sales license for the European Absolute Return Strategies Fund, a Luxembourg-registered long/short product invested in 100 shares from 15 European countries, managed with an absolute performance strategy similar to the one used by David Littleton for the BlackRock UK Absolute Alpha fund, Das Investment reports. The fund, which carries a management commission of 1.5% and a performance commission of 20%, is managed by Vincent Devlin. The only difference with the British product is that pair trades are meant to bring in only 20% of performance, rather than 50%.BlackRock says retropolation shows that in second half 2008, the new fund would have earned performance of 5%, while the Euro Stoxx 50 lost 27% in the same period.
Nyse Euronext on Monday announced the launch of its new pan-European multilateral trading platform Nyse Arca Europe, ?which offers actors a way to trade 377 shares from 9 European countries (Austria, Denmark, Finland, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and Switzerland),? Les Echos reports. Nyse Euronext is planning to extend its offerings in April to include shares from Ireland and the United Kingdom.
The FBI is seeking to identify potential victims of Sir Allen Stanford, the Financial Times reports. The agency is looking for information about any persons who invested either in Stanford Financial Group or in its affiliates, Stanford Capital Management, Stanford Group Company, Stanford International Bank, Stanford Trust Company, and Bank of Antigua.
A selection of 6 businesses made available by Financière Fonds Privés will include privately owned SMBs and other small entities eligible for the Tepa and Dutreuil tax breaks.Financière Fonds Privés has selected 6 businesses which ?are likely to show goot prospects of returns? and which ?are in the sectors of specialised distribution, ultra high-end services, information management, and green energy,? the firm says.Access to this range of services will be open only to those who have been pre-approved for membership, and who, as qualified investors under article L.411-2 of the French CMF law code, would like to invest more than EUR35,000 per investment.The investment will also be available via IFAs. Financière Fonds Privés will charge investors front-end fees equivalent to 5% of the amount invested, and at exit, 20% of gross capital gains earned (excluding the tax break). ?Capital increases at the selected businesses ? will take place between 15 April and 15 May 2009, with a higher priority given to investors who declare their intentions before 15 April,? the management firm says.
Irving Picard, the administrator appointed to recuperate the money of victims of the Bernard Madoff fraud, will pay out money to 12 claimants, the Financial Times reports. Each will receive USD500,000 from the Securities Investor Protection Corporation, the non-government agency to assist clients of bankrupt brokers, though the sums being claimed by the victims are higher than USD500,000.
After gains in December and January, the Hennesse hedge fund index has posted losses of 0.8% in January, while the three major American stock market indices have posted total losses of 6% to 12%, the Wall Street Journal reports. Based on 59% of the usual sample, the CreditSuisse/Tremont index, for its part, is down 0.5%.
Stefan Hepp, CEO and founder of SCM Strategic Capital Management, says a study of 400 funds shows that 92% of private equity firms have five partners or fewer. Handelsblatt reports that 95% of firms employ no more than 30 investment professionals. For funds whose assets totalled EUR5bn to EUR10bn, the average number of partners is 10, and the number of investment professionals is 32.
The French credit and insurance firm Coface will set up operations in the credit default ratings business, Handelsblatt reports. Benoît Claire, chairman of the board at Coface Deutschland, says that the firm is not aiming to compete with the major ratings agencies, but instead will aim to cover small and mid-sized businesses. The major difference will be that Coface will rate businesses and not financial instruments. In addition, the validity of the rating will be limited to 12 months.
On Monday, the Milan stock exchange lost more than all the other markets of Europe, Il Sole - 24 Ore remarks. London and Frankfurt regained 0.33% and 0.7%, while Paris had losses limited to 0.6%. The Italian market was down 2.12%. Banks weighed down the stock markets particularly. To explain this disastrous situation, operators are pointing to heavy sales of shares by foreign investors, bearish investors, hedge funds with short positions, and insurance companies emptying out their portfolios? Whatever the cause, since the beginning of the year, Piazza Affari has lost 35.14%, compared with an average of 19.77% for European stock markets, the Italian newspaper reports.
At the end of February, there were 1,603 ETFs in the world, with assets of USD593.49bn, issued by 85 providers, and listed 2,720 times on 42 stock markets, says Deborah Fuhr, managing director, global head of ETF research and implementation strategy at Barclays Global Investors (BGI). Since the beginning of the year, assets under management contracted by 26.9%, while the MSCI World index fell by only 18.4%, and at the same time the number of ETFs on sale increased by 0.8%, or 25 funds. Currently, 679 new ETFs are in preparation. Based on statistics from Strategic Insight, BGI states that for 2008 as a whole, funds other than ETFs suffered net redemptions of USD111.9bn, while ETFs posted net subscriptions of USD268bn.
M&G Investments Germany has launched the M&G Global Emerging Markets Fund, managed with a bottom-up stock-picking approach by Matthew Vaight and Michael Godfrey. The portfolio of the open-ended British-registered fund (OEIC) consists of 50-70 positions, including shares in various regions, sectors, and cap sizes in the emerging markets category. The objective is to earn performance which will place the product in the top quartile of its peer group, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index as its benchmark. The management process is the same one applied by the M&G global equities team, which managed more than EUR5bn as of the end of January.Front-end fees and management commission are 4%. and 1.75%, respectively, for class A shares, denominated in Euros or US dollars. Minimal subscription is set initially at EUR1,000 or USD1,000, and the minimum for subscriptions from a retirement savings plan is EUR75 or USD75 per month.
Axa Investment Managers Deutschland finished 2008 with assets of EUR49.6bn, compared with EUR56bn twelve months earlier. Despite net redemptions of EUR68m from open-ended funds, the manager has posted net subscriptions of EUR203m for last year, thanks to a 24.9% increase in institutional inflows to a net total of EUR271m. Axa IM says that this result compares with a 30% contraction in institutional subscriptions for the sector as a whole.